Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.422.96safe0.58–2.510.56–2.271.14–4.78safer0.32–2.760.34–2.500.66–5.26
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.584.719.29safe2.72–6.442.97–6.465.69–12.90safer2.23–6.932.51–6.924.73–13.85
Total shots
56%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0012.7526.75safe10.07–17.929.19–16.3219.27–34.24safer8.98–19.018.23–17.2817.21–36.29
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.358.1817.53safe6.41–12.305.50–10.8611.91–23.15safer5.58–13.124.76–11.5910.34–24.72
Blocked shots
45%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.266.69safe1.54–5.311.61–4.913.15–10.22safer1.00–5.851.11–5.402.12–11.26
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.159.33safe2.96–7.382.15–6.155.11–13.54safer2.38–7.961.62–6.694.01–14.65
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.2547.99safe45.46–59.0441.20–54.77safer43.79–60.7139.53–56.44
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction483421903safe415–550354–487770–1037safer397–568337–505734–1073
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction76.4275.15safe72.39–80.4570.82–79.47safer71.10–81.7469.51–80.78
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9112.4924.40safe9.07–14.759.54–15.4318.61–30.18safer8.32–15.508.79–16.1817.11–31.68
Offsides
50%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.493.51safe0.86–3.180.40–2.591.26–5.76safer0.56–3.480.11–2.880.67–6.35
Yellow cards
30%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.534.45safe0.87–2.971.40–3.652.27–6.62safer0.61–3.241.11–3.951.71–7.18
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.180.27safe0.00–0.260.00–0.360.00–0.62safer0.00–0.410.00–0.500.00–0.90
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.136.28safe1.71–4.581.57–4.693.29–9.27safer1.33–4.971.15–5.112.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.58–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.34–2.50 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 4.71 2.97–6.46 2.51–6.92 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 12.75 9.19–16.32 8.23–17.28 | 26.75 19.27–34.24 17.21–36.29 | 56% 37% |
| Shots in box | 9.35 6.41–12.30 5.58–13.12 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.59 | 17.53 11.91–23.15 10.34–24.72 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.26 1.61–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 6.69 3.15–10.22 2.12–11.26 | 45% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 9.33 5.11–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.25 45.46–59.04 43.79–60.71 | 47.99 41.20–54.77 39.53–56.44 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 483 415–550 397–568 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.42 72.39–80.45 71.10–81.74 | 75.15 70.82–79.47 69.51–80.78 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.07–14.75 8.32–15.50 | 12.49 9.54–15.43 8.79–16.18 | 24.40 18.61–30.18 17.11–31.68 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 50% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.53 1.40–3.65 1.11–3.95 | 4.45 2.27–6.62 1.71–7.18 | 30% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.71–4.58 1.33–4.97 | 3.13 1.57–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+