Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.072.82safe0.77–2.710.22–1.930.99–4.64safer0.52–2.960.00–2.160.51–5.12
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.3310.10safe3.91–7.632.59–6.076.49–13.70safer3.42–8.122.12–6.545.54–14.66
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3412.2028.54safe12.42–20.268.64–15.7621.05–36.03safer11.32–21.367.68–16.7219.00–38.08
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.757.1117.86safe7.81–13.694.43–9.7912.23–23.48safer6.98–14.523.69–10.5310.67–25.05
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.478.11safe2.76–6.531.82–5.124.58–11.65safer2.22–7.071.33–5.623.54–12.68
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.1910.40safe3.99–8.422.19–6.196.18–14.61safer3.42–8.991.66–6.735.08–15.72
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.7345.78safe47.94–61.5239.00–52.57safer46.27–63.1937.33–54.24
Passes
79%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction482383865safe415–549317–450732–999safer397–567299–467696–1035
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction70.7369.49safe66.70–74.7665.17–73.82safer65.41–76.0563.86–75.13
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2812.8924.16safe8.44–14.129.94–15.8318.38–29.95safer7.68–14.879.19–16.5816.88–31.45
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.273.27safe0.84–3.160.18–2.371.02–5.53safer0.54–3.460.00–2.660.43–6.12
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.414.11safe0.65–2.751.28–3.541.94–6.29safer0.39–3.020.99–3.831.38–6.85
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.876.64safe1.33–4.202.31–5.433.65–9.63safer0.94–4.591.89–5.852.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 4.33 2.59–6.07 2.12–6.54 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.54–14.66 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.34 12.42–20.26 11.32–21.36 | 12.20 8.64–15.76 7.68–16.72 | 28.54 21.05–36.03 19.00–38.08 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.75 7.81–13.69 6.98–14.52 | 7.11 4.43–9.79 3.69–10.53 | 17.86 12.23–23.48 10.67–25.05 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.47 1.82–5.12 1.33–5.62 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.68 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.99–8.42 3.42–8.99 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.73 47.94–61.52 46.27–63.19 | 45.78 39.00–52.57 37.33–54.24 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 383 317–450 299–467 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 79% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.73 66.70–74.76 65.41–76.05 | 69.49 65.17–73.82 63.86–75.13 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.28 8.44–14.12 7.68–14.87 | 12.89 9.94–15.83 9.19–16.58 | 24.16 18.38–29.95 16.88–31.45 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.11 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.87 2.31–5.43 1.89–5.85 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.