Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.512.83safe0.35–2.290.65–2.361.01–4.65safer0.10–2.540.43–2.590.53–5.13
Shots on target
38%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.879.35safe2.62–6.343.13–6.625.75–12.96safer2.13–6.832.67–7.084.79–13.91
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7114.9829.69safe10.78–18.6311.42–18.5522.20–37.18safer9.69–19.7210.46–19.5120.15–39.23
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.069.0518.11safe6.12–12.006.37–11.7312.49–23.74safer5.29–12.835.63–12.4710.92–25.30
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.088.21safe2.25–6.022.43–5.734.68–11.75safer1.71–6.561.93–6.223.64–12.78
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.1710.16safe2.78–7.213.17–7.175.95–14.37safer2.21–7.782.63–7.704.84–15.48
Possession %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction46.4854.63safe39.69–53.2747.85–61.42safer38.02–54.9446.18–63.09
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction401453854safe334–468386–519720–987safer315–486369–537684–1023
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction65.0072.44safe60.97–69.0368.12–76.77safer59.68–70.3266.81–78.07
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6211.8823.49safe8.78–14.468.93–14.8217.71–29.28safer8.02–15.218.18–15.5716.21–30.78
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.883.32safe0.29–2.610.78–2.971.07–5.58safer0.00–2.910.49–3.260.48–6.16
Yellow cards
43%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.964.09safe1.09–3.190.83–3.091.92–6.27safer0.82–3.450.54–3.381.36–6.83
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.026.08safe1.62–4.491.47–4.583.09–9.07safer1.23–4.881.04–5.002.28–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.43–2.59 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 4.87 3.13–6.62 2.67–7.08 | 9.35 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 38% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.78–18.63 9.69–19.72 | 14.98 11.42–18.55 10.46–19.51 | 29.69 22.20–37.18 20.15–39.23 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.06 6.12–12.00 5.29–12.83 | 9.05 6.37–11.73 5.63–12.47 | 18.11 12.49–23.74 10.92–25.30 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.02 1.71–6.56 | 4.08 2.43–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 8.21 4.68–11.75 3.64–12.78 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.78–7.21 2.21–7.78 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 46.48 39.69–53.27 38.02–54.94 | 54.63 47.85–61.42 46.18–63.09 | — | 29% 66% |
| Passes | 401 334–468 315–486 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 854 720–987 684–1023 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.00 60.97–69.03 59.68–70.32 | 72.44 68.12–76.77 66.81–78.07 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.46 8.02–15.21 | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 23.49 17.71–29.28 16.21–30.78 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.16 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 4.09 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 43% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.28–9.88 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+