Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.572.94safe0.41–2.340.71–2.421.12–4.76safer0.16–2.590.48–2.650.64–5.24
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.5010.23safe2.86–6.593.76–7.246.62–13.83safer2.37–7.083.29–7.715.67–14.79
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4215.1128.53safe9.50–17.3511.54–18.6721.04–36.02safer8.41–18.4410.59–19.6318.99–38.07
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.509.5918.10safe5.56–11.456.91–12.2712.47–23.72safer4.73–12.286.17–13.0110.91–25.29
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.837.13safe1.42–5.192.18–5.483.60–10.67safer0.88–5.731.69–5.982.56–11.70
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.3610.84safe3.26–7.693.36–7.366.62–15.05safer2.69–8.262.83–7.895.52–16.16
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.0354.57safe38.24–51.8247.79–61.36safer36.57–53.4946.11–63.03
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction384465849safe317–451399–532715–983safer299–469381–549680–1018
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction65.0973.34safe61.06–69.1269.02–77.67safer59.77–70.4167.71–78.98
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5712.0623.63safe8.73–14.409.11–15.0017.84–29.41safer7.97–15.168.37–15.7516.34–30.91
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.533.33safe0.64–2.960.44–2.621.07–5.58safer0.34–3.260.15–2.910.48–6.17
Yellow cards
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.983.72safe0.69–2.790.85–3.111.54–5.90safer0.42–3.050.56–3.400.98–6.45
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.307.13safe2.40–5.271.74–4.854.14–10.12safer2.01–5.661.32–5.283.33–10.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.41–2.34 0.16–2.59 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 5.50 3.76–7.24 3.29–7.71 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.67–14.79 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 15.11 11.54–18.67 10.59–19.63 | 28.53 21.04–36.02 18.99–38.07 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.45 4.73–12.28 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 18.10 12.47–23.72 10.91–25.29 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 3.83 2.18–5.48 1.69–5.98 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.89 | 10.84 6.62–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.03 38.24–51.82 36.57–53.49 | 54.57 47.79–61.36 46.11–63.03 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–469 | 465 399–532 381–549 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.09 61.06–69.12 59.77–70.41 | 73.34 69.02–77.67 67.71–78.98 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.37–15.75 | 23.63 17.84–29.41 16.34–30.91 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.84 2.40–5.27 2.01–5.66 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 7.13 4.14–10.12 3.33–10.94 | 50% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+