Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.022.89safe0.90–2.840.17–1.881.07–4.71safer0.65–3.090.00–2.110.59–5.19
Shots on target
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.1210.23safe4.24–7.972.38–5.866.62–13.83safer3.75–8.461.91–6.335.66–14.79
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4212.4529.87safe13.50–21.358.89–16.0122.38–37.36safer12.41–22.447.93–16.9720.33–39.41
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.967.1318.09safe8.02–13.904.45–9.8112.47–23.71safer7.19–14.733.71–10.5510.90–25.28
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.237.99safe2.87–6.641.58–4.884.45–11.52safer2.33–7.181.08–5.383.42–12.56
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.594.2510.84safe4.38–8.802.25–6.256.63–15.06safer3.80–9.381.72–6.795.52–16.16
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.8943.83safe49.10–62.6837.05–50.62safer47.43–64.3535.37–52.29
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction479348828safe412–547282–415694–961safer394–565264–432658–997
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction72.2868.92safe68.25–76.3164.59–73.24safer66.96–77.6163.28–74.55
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6812.1323.81safe8.84–14.519.19–15.0818.02–29.59safer8.08–15.278.44–15.8216.52–31.09
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.342.96safe0.46–2.780.25–2.440.71–5.22safer0.16–3.080.00–2.730.12–5.81
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.083.59safe0.46–2.550.96–3.211.41–5.77safer0.19–2.820.66–3.500.85–6.32
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.904.327.21safe1.46–4.342.76–5.874.22–10.21safer1.08–4.722.33–6.303.41–11.02
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 57% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.24–7.97 3.75–8.46 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 10.23 6.62–13.83 5.66–14.79 | 68% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.42 13.50–21.35 12.41–22.44 | 12.45 8.89–16.01 7.93–16.97 | 29.87 22.38–37.36 20.33–39.41 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.02–13.90 7.19–14.73 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 18.09 12.47–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.87–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.38 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.38–8.80 3.80–9.38 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 10.84 6.63–15.06 5.52–16.16 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.89 49.10–62.68 47.43–64.35 | 43.83 37.05–50.62 35.37–52.29 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 828 694–961 658–997 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.28 68.25–76.31 66.96–77.61 | 68.92 64.59–73.24 63.28–74.55 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 12.13 9.19–15.08 8.44–15.82 | 23.81 18.02–29.59 16.52–31.09 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.34 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.46–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.08 0.96–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.32 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.34 1.08–4.72 | 4.32 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.30 | 7.21 4.22–10.21 3.41–11.02 | 23% 13% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+