Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.640.962.60safe0.67–2.610.11–1.820.78–4.43safer0.42–2.860.00–2.050.30–4.91
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.863.289.14safe4.00–7.721.54–5.025.54–12.75safer3.51–8.211.07–5.494.58–13.70
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.859.8226.67safe12.93–20.786.26–13.3819.19–34.16safer11.84–21.875.30–14.3417.14–36.21
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.456.5316.98safe7.50–13.393.85–9.2111.35–22.60safer6.67–14.223.11–9.959.79–24.17
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.807.22safe2.54–6.311.14–4.453.69–10.76safer2.00–6.850.65–4.942.65–11.80
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.439.77safe4.13–8.561.43–5.435.56–13.99safer3.56–9.130.89–5.964.45–15.09
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.7538.90safe53.96–67.5432.12–45.69safer52.29–69.2130.45–47.36
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction517313830safe450–584247–380696–964safer432–602229–397661–1000
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction75.2266.70safe71.19–79.2562.38–71.03safer69.90–80.5461.07–72.34
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6614.1926.86safe9.83–15.5011.25–17.1421.08–32.64safer9.07–16.2610.50–17.8919.57–34.15
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.312.95safe0.48–2.800.22–2.400.70–5.20safer0.18–3.100.00–2.690.11–5.79
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.524.33safe0.76–2.861.39–3.652.15–6.51safer0.49–3.121.10–3.941.59–7.06
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
20%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.886.19safe0.87–3.742.32–5.443.20–9.18safer0.48–4.131.90–5.862.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 3.28 1.54–5.02 1.07–5.49 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.85 12.93–20.78 11.84–21.87 | 9.82 6.26–13.38 5.30–14.34 | 26.67 19.19–34.16 17.14–36.21 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.45 7.50–13.39 6.67–14.22 | 6.53 3.85–9.21 3.11–9.95 | 16.98 11.35–22.60 9.79–24.17 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.80 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.89–5.96 | 9.77 5.56–13.99 4.45–15.09 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 60.75 53.96–67.54 52.29–69.21 | 38.90 32.12–45.69 30.45–47.36 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 313 247–380 229–397 | 830 696–964 661–1000 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.22 71.19–79.25 69.90–80.54 | 66.70 62.38–71.03 61.07–72.34 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 14.19 11.25–17.14 10.50–17.89 | 26.86 21.08–32.64 19.57–34.15 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.33 2.15–6.51 1.59–7.06 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 3.88 2.32–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 20% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.