Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.622.76safe0.17–2.110.77–2.480.94–4.59safer0.00–2.360.54–2.710.46–5.07
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.219.15safe2.08–5.803.47–6.955.55–12.76safer1.59–6.293.00–7.424.59–13.71
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0415.1727.22safe8.12–15.9711.61–18.7419.73–34.70safer7.03–17.0610.65–19.7017.68–36.76
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.379.2216.58safe4.42–10.316.54–11.9010.96–22.21safer3.59–11.145.80–12.649.39–23.77
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.857.06safe1.33–5.092.20–5.503.52–10.59safer0.78–5.631.71–6.002.49–11.63
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.009.28safe2.07–6.503.00–7.005.07–13.49safer1.50–7.072.46–7.533.96–14.60
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction44.0057.53safe37.21–50.7950.75–64.32safer35.54–52.4649.08–65.99
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction346474820safe278–413408–541686–954safer260–431390–558651–989
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction66.4375.10safe62.40–70.4670.77–79.42safer61.11–71.7669.47–80.73
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1412.8026.94safe11.30–16.979.86–15.7521.16–32.72safer10.54–17.739.11–16.5019.65–34.22
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.563.00safe0.28–2.600.47–2.650.74–5.25safer0.00–2.900.18–2.940.15–5.84
Yellow cards
44%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.904.03safe1.08–3.180.78–3.031.86–6.21safer0.81–3.440.48–3.331.30–6.77
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.656.29safe2.20–5.081.10–4.213.30–9.28safer1.82–5.460.67–4.632.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 27% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 5.21 3.47–6.95 3.00–7.42 | 9.15 5.55–12.76 4.59–13.71 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.12–15.97 7.03–17.06 | 15.17 11.61–18.74 10.65–19.70 | 27.22 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.76 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.37 4.42–10.31 3.59–11.14 | 9.22 6.54–11.90 5.80–12.64 | 16.58 10.96–22.21 9.39–23.77 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.85 2.20–5.50 1.71–6.00 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.46–7.53 | 9.28 5.07–13.49 3.96–14.60 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 44.00 37.21–50.79 35.54–52.46 | 57.53 50.75–64.32 49.08–65.99 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 346 278–413 260–431 | 474 408–541 390–558 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.43 62.40–70.46 61.11–71.76 | 75.10 70.77–79.42 69.47–80.73 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 14.14 11.30–16.97 10.54–17.73 | 12.80 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 26.94 21.16–32.72 19.65–34.22 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.00 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.84 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 1.90 0.78–3.03 0.48–3.33 | 4.03 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 44% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.20–5.08 1.82–5.46 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 57% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.