Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.252.88safe0.66–2.590.40–2.111.05–4.70safer0.40–2.840.17–2.340.57–5.18
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.339.36safe3.16–6.892.59–6.085.75–12.96safer2.67–7.382.12–6.544.80–13.92
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0013.9028.91safe11.08–18.9310.34–17.4721.42–36.39safer9.99–20.029.38–18.4319.37–38.45
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.787.5016.28safe5.84–11.724.82–10.1810.66–21.90safer5.01–12.554.08–10.929.09–23.47
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.607.17safe1.69–5.461.94–5.253.64–10.71safer1.15–6.001.45–5.742.60–11.74
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.479.88safe3.20–7.622.47–6.475.66–14.09safer2.62–8.201.93–7.004.56–15.20
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.3454.91safe38.55–52.1348.13–61.70safer36.88–53.8046.46–63.37
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction388465853safe321–455398–531719–986safer303–473381–549683–1022
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction66.5173.21safe62.48–70.5468.89–77.54safer61.19–71.8467.58–78.85
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0912.3825.47safe10.25–15.929.44–15.3319.69–31.25safer9.49–16.688.69–16.0718.18–32.76
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.472.99safe0.36–2.680.38–2.570.74–5.24safer0.05–2.980.09–2.860.15–5.83
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.214.04safe0.78–2.881.08–3.341.87–6.22safer0.52–3.150.79–3.631.31–6.78
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.496.54safe1.61–4.491.93–5.053.55–9.53safer1.23–4.871.51–5.472.74–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.16–6.89 2.67–7.38 | 4.33 2.59–6.08 2.12–6.54 | 9.36 5.75–12.96 4.80–13.92 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.00 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 13.90 10.34–17.47 9.38–18.43 | 28.91 21.42–36.39 19.37–38.45 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.84–11.72 5.01–12.55 | 7.50 4.82–10.18 4.08–10.92 | 16.28 10.66–21.90 9.09–23.47 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.69–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 3.60 1.94–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 7.17 3.64–10.71 2.60–11.74 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.93–7.00 | 9.88 5.66–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 45.34 38.55–52.13 36.88–53.80 | 54.91 48.13–61.70 46.46–63.37 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 388 321–455 303–473 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.51 62.48–70.54 61.19–71.84 | 73.21 68.89–77.54 67.58–78.85 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.92 9.49–16.68 | 12.38 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.07 | 25.47 19.69–31.25 18.18–32.76 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.47 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.04 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.49 1.23–4.87 | 3.49 1.93–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.34 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+