Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.152.49safe0.38–2.310.30–2.000.67–4.32safer0.12–2.560.07–2.230.19–4.80
Shots on target
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.138.94safe2.95–6.672.39–5.885.34–12.55safer2.46–7.161.93–6.344.38–13.51
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4112.8128.22safe11.49–19.349.25–16.3720.74–35.71safer10.40–20.438.29–17.3318.68–37.76
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.967.4016.36safe6.02–11.904.72–10.0810.73–21.98safer5.19–12.733.98–10.819.17–23.55
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.116.96safe1.97–5.731.45–4.763.42–10.49safer1.42–6.280.96–5.252.39–11.53
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.459.59safe2.92–7.352.45–6.455.37–13.80safer2.35–7.921.92–6.994.27–14.91
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4444.52safe48.65–62.2337.73–51.30safer46.98–63.9036.06–52.97
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction485375860safe418–552308–441726–993safer400–570291–459690–1029
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction71.4570.18safe67.42–75.4865.85–74.50safer66.13–76.7764.55–75.81
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2512.8925.15safe9.42–15.099.95–15.8419.36–30.93safer8.66–15.859.20–16.5917.86–32.43
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.343.05safe0.55–2.870.25–2.430.80–5.31safer0.25–3.180.00–2.720.21–5.90
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.063.82safe0.71–2.810.93–3.181.64–6.00safer0.45–3.080.64–3.481.08–6.55
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.276.02safe1.32–4.191.71–4.833.03–9.02safer0.93–4.581.29–5.252.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.38–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.15 0.30–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.49 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.13 2.39–5.88 1.93–6.34 | 8.94 5.34–12.55 4.38–13.51 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total shots | 15.41 11.49–19.34 10.40–20.43 | 12.81 9.25–16.37 8.29–17.33 | 28.22 20.74–35.71 18.68–37.76 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.96 6.02–11.90 5.19–12.73 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.98–10.81 | 16.36 10.73–21.98 9.17–23.55 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.42–6.28 | 3.11 1.45–4.76 0.96–5.25 | 6.96 3.42–10.49 2.39–11.53 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.92–6.99 | 9.59 5.37–13.80 4.27–14.91 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 55.44 48.65–62.23 46.98–63.90 | 44.52 37.73–51.30 36.06–52.97 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.45 67.42–75.48 66.13–76.77 | 70.18 65.85–74.50 64.55–75.81 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 25.15 19.36–30.93 17.86–32.43 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.18 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.06 0.93–3.18 0.64–3.48 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.55 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.27 1.71–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 6.02 3.03–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+