Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.802.80safe1.04–2.970.00–1.650.98–4.62safer0.78–3.220.00–1.880.50–5.10
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.169.13safe4.11–7.831.41–4.905.52–12.73safer3.62–8.320.95–5.364.57–13.69
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.379.9027.28safe13.45–21.306.34–13.4719.79–34.77safer12.36–22.395.38–14.4317.74–36.82
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.455.8217.27safe8.51–14.393.14–8.5011.65–22.89safer7.68–15.222.40–9.2410.08–24.46
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.667.09safe2.55–6.311.01–4.313.55–10.62safer2.00–6.850.52–4.812.52–11.66
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.363.469.82safe4.14–8.571.46–5.465.60–14.03safer3.57–9.140.93–5.994.50–15.14
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.3336.67safe56.54–70.1229.88–43.45safer54.87–71.7928.21–45.13
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction557290848safe490–625224–357714–981safer472–643206–374678–1017
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction73.7865.35safe69.75–77.8061.02–69.67safer68.45–79.1059.71–70.98
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0213.1124.14safe8.19–13.8610.17–16.0618.36–29.92safer7.43–14.629.42–16.8116.85–31.42
Offsides
41%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.382.89safe0.35–2.670.28–2.470.63–5.14safer0.05–2.970.00–2.760.04–5.73
Yellow cards
24%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.584.22safe0.59–2.691.45–3.712.04–6.40safer0.33–2.961.16–4.001.48–6.95
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.130.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.555.79safe0.80–3.672.00–5.112.80–8.78safer0.41–4.061.57–5.531.99–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.04–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.97 4.11–7.83 3.62–8.32 | 3.16 1.41–4.90 0.95–5.36 | 9.13 5.52–12.73 4.57–13.69 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.37 13.45–21.30 12.36–22.39 | 9.90 6.34–13.47 5.38–14.43 | 27.28 19.79–34.77 17.74–36.82 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.51–14.39 7.68–15.22 | 5.82 3.14–8.50 2.40–9.24 | 17.27 11.65–22.89 10.08–24.46 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.52–4.81 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.14–8.57 3.57–9.14 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–5.99 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 63.33 56.54–70.12 54.87–71.79 | 36.67 29.88–43.45 28.21–45.13 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 557 490–625 472–643 | 290 224–357 206–374 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.78 69.75–77.80 68.45–79.10 | 65.35 61.02–69.67 59.71–70.98 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 13.11 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 24.14 18.36–29.92 16.85–31.42 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 2.89 0.63–5.14 0.04–5.73 | 41% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.24 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 3.55 2.00–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.99–9.59 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+