Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.722.68safe0.00–1.930.86–2.570.86–4.50safer0.00–2.180.63–2.800.38–4.98
Shots on target
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.635.158.78safe1.77–5.493.41–6.895.17–12.38safer1.28–5.982.94–7.364.22–13.34
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1613.7625.93safe8.24–16.0910.20–17.3318.44–33.42safer7.15–17.189.24–18.2916.39–35.47
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.559.0716.62safe4.60–10.496.39–11.7511.00–22.24safer3.78–11.325.66–12.499.43–23.81
Blocked shots
30%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.147.40safe1.38–5.142.48–5.793.86–10.93safer0.83–5.691.99–6.282.83–11.97
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.989.85safe2.66–7.092.98–6.985.64–14.07safer2.09–7.662.44–7.514.53–15.17
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.7460.03safe33.95–47.5353.24–66.81safer32.28–49.2051.57–68.49
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction326501827safe259–393435–568694–961safer241–411417–585658–997
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction60.6074.82safe56.57–64.6370.49–79.14safer55.28–65.9369.18–80.45
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2611.3123.57safe9.42–15.098.37–14.2617.79–29.35safer8.66–15.857.62–15.0116.28–30.85
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.423.06safe0.48–2.800.33–2.510.81–5.32safer0.18–3.110.04–2.800.22–5.91
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.894.02safe1.08–3.180.76–3.021.84–6.20safer0.82–3.450.47–3.311.28–6.75
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.110.26safe0.00–0.310.00–0.300.00–0.61safer0.00–0.460.00–0.430.00–0.89
GK saves
49%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.755.94safe1.75–4.621.20–4.312.94–8.93safer1.36–5.010.77–4.732.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.49 1.28–5.98 | 5.15 3.41–6.89 2.94–7.36 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 25% 63% |
| Total shots | 12.16 8.24–16.09 7.15–17.18 | 13.76 10.20–17.33 9.24–18.29 | 25.93 18.44–33.42 16.39–35.47 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.60–10.49 3.78–11.32 | 9.07 6.39–11.75 5.66–12.49 | 16.62 11.00–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.69 | 4.14 2.48–5.79 1.99–6.28 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 30% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.44–7.51 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 40.74 33.95–47.53 32.28–49.20 | 60.03 53.24–66.81 51.57–68.49 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 326 259–393 241–411 | 501 435–568 417–585 | 827 694–961 658–997 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.60 56.57–64.63 55.28–65.93 | 74.82 70.49–79.14 69.18–80.45 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.01 | 23.57 17.79–29.35 16.28–30.85 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.11 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.06 0.81–5.32 0.22–5.91 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 4.02 1.84–6.20 1.28–6.75 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.75 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.73 | 5.94 2.94–8.93 2.13–9.74 | 49% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+