Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.913.30safe1.43–3.360.05–1.761.48–5.13safer1.18–3.620.00–1.991.00–5.61
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.093.0710.16safe5.23–8.961.33–4.816.56–13.77safer4.74–9.440.86–5.285.60–14.72
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.948.7027.65safe15.02–22.875.14–12.2620.16–35.13safer13.93–23.964.18–13.2218.11–37.18
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.325.1218.44safe10.38–16.262.44–7.8012.82–24.07safer9.55–17.091.70–8.5411.25–25.63
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.027.05safe3.15–6.910.36–3.673.51–10.58safer2.61–7.460.00–4.162.48–11.62
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.823.1810.00safe4.60–9.031.18–5.185.79–14.21safer4.03–9.610.65–5.724.68–15.32
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.3043.02safe50.51–64.0936.23–49.80safer48.84–65.7634.56–51.47
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction537412949safe470–604346–479816–1083safer452–622328–496780–1119
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction75.4769.78safe71.44–79.5065.45–74.10safer70.15–80.7964.15–75.41
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3010.5721.87safe8.46–14.137.62–13.5116.08–27.65safer7.70–14.896.88–14.2614.58–29.15
Offsides
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.983.54safe0.40–2.720.89–3.081.29–5.80safer0.10–3.020.60–3.370.70–6.39
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.233.52safe0.24–2.331.10–3.361.34–5.70safer0.00–2.600.81–3.650.78–6.25
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.286.43safe0.71–3.582.72–5.843.43–9.42safer0.32–3.972.30–6.262.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.36 1.18–3.62 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.30 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.09 5.23–8.96 4.74–9.44 | 3.07 1.33–4.81 0.86–5.28 | 10.16 6.56–13.77 5.60–14.72 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.94 15.02–22.87 13.93–23.96 | 8.70 5.14–12.26 4.18–13.22 | 27.65 20.16–35.13 18.11–37.18 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.32 10.38–16.26 9.55–17.09 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 18.44 12.82–24.07 11.25–25.63 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.03 3.15–6.91 2.61–7.46 | 2.02 0.36–3.67 0.00–4.16 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 83% |
| Corners | 6.82 4.60–9.03 4.03–9.61 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.72 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 84% |
| Possession % | 57.30 50.51–64.09 48.84–65.76 | 43.02 36.23–49.80 34.56–51.47 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 537 470–604 452–622 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.47 71.44–79.50 70.15–80.79 | 69.78 65.45–74.10 64.15–75.41 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 10.57 7.62–13.51 6.88–14.26 | 21.87 16.08–27.65 14.58–29.15 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.98 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.37 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.33 0.00–2.60 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.71–3.58 0.32–3.97 | 4.28 2.72–5.84 2.30–6.26 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.