Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.973.02safe0.09–2.021.11–2.821.20–4.85safer0.00–2.270.89–3.050.72–5.33
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.639.22safe1.72–5.453.89–7.385.61–12.82safer1.23–5.943.43–7.844.66–13.78
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4715.9526.42safe6.54–14.3912.39–19.5118.93–33.90safer5.45–15.4811.43–20.4716.88–35.95
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5211.4117.93safe3.58–9.468.73–14.0912.30–23.55safer2.75–10.297.99–14.8310.74–25.12
Blocked shots
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.927.60safe0.80–4.563.26–6.574.06–11.13safer0.26–5.112.77–7.063.03–12.17
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.789.91safe1.91–6.343.78–7.785.69–14.12safer1.34–6.913.24–8.314.58–15.23
Possession %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction45.5255.15safe38.73–52.3148.36–61.93safer37.06–53.9846.69–63.60
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction426493919safe359–494426–559785–1053safer341–512409–577750–1088
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction67.1476.72safe63.11–71.1772.40–81.04safer61.82–72.4671.09–82.35
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1510.8721.02safe7.31–12.997.92–13.8115.24–26.80safer6.56–13.747.18–14.5613.73–28.31
Offsides
53%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.513.71safe1.04–3.360.42–2.611.46–5.97safer0.74–3.660.13–2.890.87–6.56
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.763.73safe0.92–3.020.63–2.891.55–5.91safer0.66–3.290.34–3.180.99–6.46
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.506.06safe2.12–5.000.94–4.063.07–9.05safer1.74–5.380.52–4.482.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.97 1.11–2.82 0.89–3.05 | 3.02 1.20–4.85 0.72–5.33 | 20% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.72–5.45 1.23–5.94 | 5.63 3.89–7.38 3.43–7.84 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.47 6.54–14.39 5.45–15.48 | 15.95 12.39–19.51 11.43–20.47 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.52 3.58–9.46 2.75–10.29 | 11.41 8.73–14.09 7.99–14.83 | 17.93 12.30–23.55 10.74–25.12 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.26–5.11 | 4.92 3.26–6.57 2.77–7.06 | 7.60 4.06–11.13 3.03–12.17 | 16% 74% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.91–6.34 1.34–6.91 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.24–8.31 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.23 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 45.52 38.73–52.31 37.06–53.98 | 55.15 48.36–61.93 46.69–63.60 | — | 26% 69% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 919 785–1053 750–1088 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.14 63.11–71.17 61.82–72.46 | 76.72 72.40–81.04 71.09–82.35 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.99 6.56–13.74 | 10.87 7.92–13.81 7.18–14.56 | 21.02 15.24–26.80 13.73–28.31 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.89 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 53% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.46 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–5.00 1.74–5.38 | 2.50 0.94–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.