Liga I·Regular Season - 12·
Liga I·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
26%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.102.54safe0.47–2.410.25–1.960.72–4.37safer0.22–2.660.02–2.190.24–4.85
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.729.01safe3.43–7.161.97–5.465.41–12.62safer2.94–7.651.51–5.924.45–13.57
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8410.9926.82safe11.91–19.767.42–14.5519.34–34.31safer10.82–20.856.46–15.5117.28–36.36
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.976.9816.95safe7.03–12.914.30–9.6611.33–22.57safer6.20–13.743.56–10.409.76–24.14
Blocked shots
59%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.866.83safe2.10–5.861.20–4.513.30–10.37safer1.55–6.400.71–5.002.26–11.40
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.139.64safe3.29–7.722.13–6.135.43–13.85safer2.72–8.291.60–6.674.32–14.96
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.5545.81safe47.76–61.3439.03–52.60safer46.09–63.0137.36–54.27
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction436369805safe369–504303–435672–939safer351–522285–453636–975
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction68.2866.86safe64.25–72.3162.53–71.18safer62.95–73.6061.22–72.49
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7513.8726.62safe9.92–15.5910.92–16.8120.84–32.40safer9.16–16.3510.18–17.5619.33–33.91
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.673.33safe0.49–2.820.58–2.771.07–5.58safer0.19–3.120.29–3.050.49–6.17
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.273.90safe0.59–2.681.14–3.401.72–6.08safer0.32–2.950.85–3.691.17–6.64
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.756.32safe1.14–4.022.19–5.303.33–9.32safer0.76–4.401.76–5.732.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.54 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.43–7.16 2.94–7.65 | 3.72 1.97–5.46 1.51–5.92 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.84 11.91–19.76 10.82–20.85 | 10.99 7.42–14.55 6.46–15.51 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.28–36.36 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.97 7.03–12.91 6.20–13.74 | 6.98 4.30–9.66 3.56–10.40 | 16.95 11.33–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 2.86 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 59% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.29–7.72 2.72–8.29 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.67 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.55 47.76–61.34 46.09–63.01 | 45.81 39.03–52.60 37.36–54.27 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 369 303–435 285–453 | 805 672–939 636–975 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.28 64.25–72.31 62.95–73.60 | 66.86 62.53–71.18 61.22–72.49 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 13.87 10.92–16.81 10.18–17.56 | 26.62 20.84–32.40 19.33–33.91 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.82 0.19–3.12 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.14–4.02 0.76–4.40 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.76–5.73 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+