Liga I·Regular Season - 27·
Liga I·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.302.71safe0.45–2.380.44–2.150.89–4.54safer0.20–2.640.21–2.380.41–5.02
Shots on target
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.599.23safe2.78–6.512.85–6.335.63–12.84safer2.29–7.002.38–6.804.67–13.79
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0013.4026.40safe9.07–16.929.84–16.9718.91–33.89safer7.98–18.018.88–17.9216.86–35.94
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.718.4817.20safe5.77–11.665.80–11.1611.57–22.82safer4.94–12.485.07–11.9010.01–24.39
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.757.09safe1.45–5.222.10–5.413.55–10.62safer0.91–5.761.61–5.902.52–11.66
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.839.97safe2.92–7.352.83–6.835.76–14.18safer2.35–7.922.30–7.364.65–15.29
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.6251.65safe41.83–55.4144.87–58.44safer40.16–57.0843.20–60.11
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction392408801safe325–460342–475667–934safer307–478324–492631–970
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction65.3270.73safe61.29–69.3566.41–75.06safer60.00–70.6465.10–76.36
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8112.6825.49safe9.97–15.649.73–15.6219.70–31.27safer9.21–16.408.98–16.3718.20–32.77
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.523.15safe0.47–2.800.42–2.610.90–5.40safer0.17–3.100.13–2.900.31–5.99
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.983.88safe0.84–2.940.86–3.111.70–6.05safer0.58–3.210.56–3.401.14–6.61
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.166.20safe1.61–4.481.60–4.713.21–9.20safer1.22–4.871.18–5.142.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.38 0.20–2.64 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.51 2.29–7.00 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 9.23 5.63–12.84 4.67–13.79 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 13.40 9.84–16.97 8.88–17.92 | 26.40 18.91–33.89 16.86–35.94 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.77–11.66 4.94–12.48 | 8.48 5.80–11.16 5.07–11.90 | 17.20 11.57–22.82 10.01–24.39 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 3.75 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.36 | 9.97 5.76–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 48.62 41.83–55.41 40.16–57.08 | 51.65 44.87–58.44 43.20–60.11 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 392 325–460 307–478 | 408 342–475 324–492 | 801 667–934 631–970 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.32 61.29–69.35 60.00–70.64 | 70.73 66.41–75.06 65.10–76.36 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.64 9.21–16.40 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.98–16.37 | 25.49 19.70–31.27 18.20–32.77 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.47–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.