Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.802.87safe0.10–2.040.94–2.651.05–4.69safer0.00–2.290.71–2.880.57–5.17
Shots on target
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.195.539.72safe2.32–6.053.79–7.286.11–13.32safer1.83–6.543.32–7.745.16–14.28
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8214.6627.48safe8.89–16.7411.10–18.2219.99–34.96safer7.80–17.8310.14–19.1817.94–37.02
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.909.8117.70safe4.95–10.847.13–12.4912.08–23.33safer4.12–11.676.39–13.2310.51–24.89
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.737.16safe1.54–5.312.08–5.393.62–10.69safer1.00–5.851.59–5.882.59–11.73
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.2910.07safe2.56–6.993.29–7.295.85–14.28safer1.99–7.562.76–7.824.75–15.39
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction44.2657.20safe37.47–51.0550.42–63.99safer35.80–52.7248.74–65.66
Passes
18%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction368475842safe300–435408–541709–976safer282–453391–559673–1012
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.5174.15safe59.48–67.5469.83–78.48safer58.19–68.8368.52–79.79
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0012.0125.01safe10.16–15.839.07–14.9619.23–30.79safer9.40–16.598.32–15.7117.72–32.30
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.113.79safe0.52–2.841.02–3.201.53–6.04safer0.22–3.140.73–3.490.94–6.63
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.154.41safe1.21–3.311.02–3.282.23–6.59safer0.95–3.580.73–3.571.68–7.15
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.87
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.886.43safe2.12–4.991.33–4.443.44–9.43safer1.73–5.380.90–4.862.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.80 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.88 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.32–6.05 1.83–6.54 | 5.53 3.79–7.28 3.32–7.74 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 28% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.82 8.89–16.74 7.80–17.83 | 14.66 11.10–18.22 10.14–19.18 | 27.48 19.99–34.96 17.94–37.02 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.95–10.84 4.12–11.67 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.23 | 17.70 12.08–23.33 10.51–24.89 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 7.16 3.62–10.69 2.59–11.73 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.56–6.99 1.99–7.56 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.76–7.82 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.26 37.47–51.05 35.80–52.72 | 57.20 50.42–63.99 48.74–65.66 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 368 300–435 282–453 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 842 709–976 673–1012 | 18% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.51 59.48–67.54 58.19–68.83 | 74.15 69.83–78.48 68.52–79.79 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.00 10.16–15.83 9.40–16.59 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.71 | 25.01 19.23–30.79 17.72–32.30 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.11 1.02–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.41 2.23–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.43 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+