Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.270.983.25safe1.30–3.230.13–1.841.43–5.07safer1.05–3.490.00–2.070.95–5.55
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.9010.37safe4.61–8.332.15–5.646.76–13.97safer4.12–8.821.69–6.105.81–14.93
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5511.3329.88safe14.63–22.477.77–14.9022.40–37.37safer13.53–23.576.81–15.8620.35–39.42
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.356.3518.69safe9.40–15.293.66–9.0313.07–24.31safer8.57–16.122.93–9.7611.50–25.88
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.977.61safe2.76–6.521.32–4.624.08–11.15safer2.22–7.070.83–5.123.04–12.18
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.6110.11safe4.29–8.721.61–5.615.90–14.32safer3.72–9.291.07–6.144.79–15.43
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.7541.85safe51.96–65.5435.06–48.63safer50.29–67.2133.39–50.31
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction509346855safe442–576279–412721–988safer423–594262–430685–1024
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction73.1568.56safe69.12–77.1864.23–72.88safer67.83–78.4762.92–74.19
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1413.2924.44safe8.31–13.9810.35–16.2418.65–30.22safer7.55–14.749.60–16.9917.15–31.72
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.393.61safe1.06–3.380.30–2.481.35–5.86safer0.76–3.680.01–2.770.76–6.45
Yellow cards
29%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.394.19safe0.75–2.851.26–3.522.01–6.37safer0.49–3.120.97–3.811.45–6.92
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.136.68safe1.11–3.982.57–5.693.68–9.67safer0.72–4.372.15–6.112.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.23 1.05–3.49 | 0.98 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.47 4.61–8.33 4.12–8.82 | 3.90 2.15–5.64 1.69–6.10 | 10.37 6.76–13.97 5.81–14.93 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.55 14.63–22.47 13.53–23.57 | 11.33 7.77–14.90 6.81–15.86 | 29.88 22.40–37.37 20.35–39.42 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.35 9.40–15.29 8.57–16.12 | 6.35 3.66–9.03 2.93–9.76 | 18.69 13.07–24.31 11.50–25.88 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.52 2.22–7.07 | 2.97 1.32–4.62 0.83–5.12 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.72 3.72–9.29 | 3.61 1.61–5.61 1.07–6.14 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.75 51.96–65.54 50.29–67.21 | 41.85 35.06–48.63 33.39–50.31 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 423–594 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 855 721–988 685–1024 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.15 69.12–77.18 67.83–78.47 | 68.56 64.23–72.88 62.92–74.19 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.31–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.60–16.99 | 24.44 18.65–30.22 17.15–31.72 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.19 2.01–6.37 1.45–6.92 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 4.13 2.57–5.69 2.15–6.11 | 6.68 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.