Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
27%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.152.43safe0.31–2.250.29–2.000.60–4.25safer0.06–2.500.07–2.230.12–4.73
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.344.268.60safe2.48–6.212.52–6.005.00–12.21safer1.99–6.702.05–6.474.04–13.16
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8913.3626.25safe8.97–16.829.79–16.9218.76–33.74safer7.88–17.918.83–17.8816.71–35.79
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.777.6715.44safe4.83–10.724.99–10.359.82–21.07safer4.00–11.554.25–11.098.25–22.63
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.386.81safe1.55–5.311.73–5.033.27–10.34safer1.00–5.851.23–5.522.24–11.38
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.849.72safe2.66–7.092.84–6.845.50–13.93safer2.09–7.662.31–7.384.39–15.04
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.8450.41safe43.05–56.6343.63–57.20safer41.38–58.3041.96–58.87
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction407406813safe339–474340–473679–946safer321–492322–490643–982
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction67.0569.76safe63.02–71.0865.43–74.08safer61.73–72.3764.12–75.39
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4113.4327.84safe11.57–17.2410.49–16.3822.06–33.62safer10.81–18.009.74–17.1220.55–35.12
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.693.32safe0.46–2.780.60–2.791.06–5.57safer0.16–3.080.31–3.080.47–6.16
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.923.77safe0.80–2.900.79–3.051.59–5.95safer0.53–3.170.50–3.341.03–6.50
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.236.29safe1.62–4.491.68–4.793.30–9.28safer1.23–4.881.25–5.222.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 39% 27% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.21 1.99–6.70 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.89 8.97–16.82 7.88–17.91 | 13.36 9.79–16.92 8.83–17.88 | 26.25 18.76–33.74 16.71–35.79 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.77 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.55 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.09 | 15.44 9.82–21.07 8.25–22.63 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 3.38 1.73–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.38 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.04 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.84 43.05–56.63 41.38–58.30 | 50.41 43.63–57.20 41.96–58.87 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 407 339–474 321–492 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 813 679–946 643–982 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.05 63.02–71.08 61.73–72.37 | 69.76 65.43–74.08 64.12–75.39 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 14.41 11.57–17.24 10.81–18.00 | 13.43 10.49–16.38 9.74–17.12 | 27.84 22.06–33.62 20.55–35.12 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.17 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.22 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.