Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.202.72safe0.55–2.490.34–2.050.89–4.54safer0.30–2.740.12–2.280.41–5.02
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.688.78safe3.24–6.971.93–5.425.18–12.39safer2.75–7.461.47–5.894.22–13.34
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6011.5527.15safe11.68–19.537.99–15.1119.67–34.64safer10.59–20.627.03–16.0717.62–36.69
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.477.0516.51safe6.52–12.414.36–9.7310.89–22.14safer5.69–13.243.63–10.469.32–23.70
Blocked shots
49%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.266.99safe1.85–5.611.60–4.913.45–10.52safer1.30–6.161.11–5.402.42–11.56
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.784.019.79safe3.56–7.992.01–6.015.58–14.01safer2.99–8.571.48–6.554.47–15.11
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.0847.20safe45.29–58.8740.41–53.98safer43.62–60.5438.74–55.65
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction445389834safe378–512323–456701–968safer360–530305–473665–1004
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.5068.51safe63.47–71.5364.19–72.84safer62.18–72.8262.88–74.15
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5714.1526.72safe9.73–15.4111.20–17.0920.94–32.50safer8.98–16.1610.45–17.8419.43–34.00
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.403.16safe0.60–2.920.30–2.490.90–5.41safer0.30–3.220.02–2.780.31–6.00
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.913.48safe0.52–2.620.78–3.041.30–5.66safer0.26–2.890.49–3.330.74–6.21
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.736.51safe1.35–4.222.17–5.283.52–9.50safer0.96–4.611.75–5.712.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 3.68 1.93–5.42 1.47–5.89 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.68–19.53 10.59–20.62 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 27.15 19.67–34.64 17.62–36.69 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.52–12.41 5.69–13.24 | 7.05 4.36–9.73 3.63–10.46 | 16.51 10.89–22.14 9.32–23.70 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.16 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 6.99 3.45–10.52 2.42–11.56 | 49% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.56–7.99 2.99–8.57 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.48–6.55 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.08 45.29–58.87 43.62–60.54 | 47.20 40.41–53.98 38.74–55.65 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 834 701–968 665–1004 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.50 63.47–71.53 62.18–72.82 | 68.51 64.19–72.84 62.88–74.15 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.41 8.98–16.16 | 14.15 11.20–17.09 10.45–17.84 | 26.72 20.94–32.50 19.43–34.00 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.16 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.75–5.71 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+