Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.322.74safe0.45–2.390.47–2.180.92–4.57safer0.20–2.640.24–2.400.44–5.05
Shots on target
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.589.39safe2.95–6.672.84–6.325.79–13.00safer2.46–7.162.37–6.794.83–13.95
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7913.0926.88safe9.87–17.719.53–16.6619.40–34.37safer8.77–18.818.57–17.6217.35–36.42
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.058.2017.25safe6.10–11.995.52–10.8811.63–22.87safer5.27–12.824.79–11.6210.06–24.44
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.677.33safe1.77–5.542.02–5.323.79–10.86safer1.23–6.081.53–5.822.76–11.90
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.5810.16safe3.36–7.792.58–6.585.95–14.37safer2.79–8.362.05–7.124.84–15.48
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.8050.32safe43.01–56.6043.54–57.11safer41.34–58.2641.86–58.78
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction437433870safe370–504367–499736–1004safer352–522349–517701–1039
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction69.8674.87safe65.83–73.8970.55–79.20safer64.54–75.1969.24–80.51
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8611.4123.26safe9.02–14.708.46–14.3517.48–29.05safer8.27–15.457.71–15.1015.98–30.55
Offsides
42%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.282.77safe0.33–2.660.18–2.370.52–5.03safer0.03–2.960.00–2.660.00–5.61
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.214.29safe1.03–3.131.08–3.342.11–6.47safer0.77–3.400.79–3.631.55–7.03
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.116.28safe1.73–4.611.55–4.673.29–9.27safer1.35–4.991.13–5.092.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.74 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 40% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.58 2.84–6.32 2.37–6.79 | 9.39 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.95 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.87–17.71 8.77–18.81 | 13.09 9.53–16.66 8.57–17.62 | 26.88 19.40–34.37 17.35–36.42 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.10–11.99 5.27–12.82 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.79–11.62 | 17.25 11.63–22.87 10.06–24.44 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.67 2.02–5.32 1.53–5.82 | 7.33 3.79–10.86 2.76–11.90 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.36 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.80 43.01–56.60 41.34–58.26 | 50.32 43.54–57.11 41.86–58.78 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 437 370–504 352–522 | 433 367–499 349–517 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.86 65.83–73.89 64.54–75.19 | 74.87 70.55–79.20 69.24–80.51 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.70 8.27–15.45 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 23.26 17.48–29.05 15.98–30.55 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.28 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.77 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.61 | 42% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.55–7.03 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.61 1.35–4.99 | 3.11 1.55–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.48–10.09 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.