Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.483.00safe0.56–2.490.62–2.331.18–4.83safer0.31–2.740.39–2.560.70–5.30
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.429.62safe3.33–7.062.68–6.166.01–13.22safer2.84–7.552.21–6.635.06–14.18
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6812.3528.02safe11.75–19.608.78–15.9120.54–35.51safer10.66–20.697.83–16.8718.49–37.56
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.827.8017.62safe6.88–12.765.12–10.4812.00–23.25safer6.05–13.594.38–11.2210.43–24.81
Blocked shots
59%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.257.61safe2.47–6.241.60–4.904.07–11.14safer1.93–6.781.11–5.403.04–12.18
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.319.94safe3.42–7.852.31–6.315.73–14.16safer2.85–8.421.78–6.844.62–15.27
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.3646.92safe46.57–60.1540.14–53.71safer44.90–61.8238.47–55.38
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction472422895safe405–539356–489761–1028safer387–558338–506725–1064
Pass accuracy %
55%
39%
homeawayprediction73.5171.93safe69.48–77.5467.61–76.26safer68.18–78.8366.30–77.57
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3712.1623.52safe8.53–14.209.21–15.1017.74–29.31safer7.77–14.968.46–15.8516.24–30.81
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.302.78safe0.32–2.640.20–2.390.52–5.03safer0.02–2.940.00–2.680.00–5.62
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.294.14safe0.80–2.901.16–3.421.96–6.32safer0.53–3.160.87–3.711.40–6.87
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.416.16safe1.32–4.191.85–4.963.17–9.15safer0.93–4.581.43–5.392.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.74 | 1.48 0.62–2.33 0.39–2.56 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.30 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.68 11.75–19.60 10.66–20.69 | 12.35 8.78–15.91 7.83–16.87 | 28.02 20.54–35.51 18.49–37.56 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 17.62 12.00–23.25 10.43–24.81 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.47–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 3.25 1.60–4.90 1.11–5.40 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 59% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.42 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.84 | 9.94 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.27 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.36 46.57–60.15 44.90–61.82 | 46.92 40.14–53.71 38.47–55.38 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–558 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.48–77.54 68.18–78.83 | 71.93 67.61–76.26 66.30–77.57 | — | 55% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 12.16 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 23.52 17.74–29.31 16.24–30.81 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.78 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.41 1.85–4.96 1.43–5.39 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.