Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.362.55safe0.22–2.150.51–2.220.72–4.37safer0.00–2.410.28–2.440.25–4.85
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.478.59safe2.26–5.982.72–6.214.98–12.19safer1.77–6.472.26–6.684.03–13.15
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6613.0625.72safe8.74–16.599.50–16.6218.24–33.21safer7.65–17.688.54–17.5816.19–35.26
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.448.2016.63safe5.50–11.385.52–10.8811.01–22.26safer4.67–12.214.78–11.619.44–23.82
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.867.37safe1.62–5.392.21–5.513.83–10.90safer1.08–5.931.72–6.012.79–11.94
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.8910.23safe3.13–7.562.89–6.896.02–14.44safer2.56–8.132.35–7.424.91–15.55
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6454.27safe39.85–53.4347.48–61.05safer38.18–55.1045.81–62.73
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction345411757safe278–412345–478623–890safer260–431327–495587–926
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction60.6068.45safe56.57–64.6364.13–72.78safer55.28–65.9262.82–74.09
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1612.8726.03safe10.32–16.009.92–15.8120.25–31.81safer9.57–16.769.17–16.5618.74–33.31
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.373.13safe0.60–2.920.28–2.460.87–5.38safer0.30–3.220.00–2.750.28–5.97
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.114.21safe1.05–3.150.98–3.232.03–6.38safer0.79–3.420.69–3.531.47–6.94
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.290.00–0.58safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.026.02safe1.56–4.441.46–4.583.03–9.01safer1.18–4.821.04–5.002.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.41 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.44 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 33% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.98 1.77–6.47 | 4.47 2.72–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.66 8.74–16.59 7.65–17.68 | 13.06 9.50–16.62 8.54–17.58 | 25.72 18.24–33.21 16.19–35.26 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.50–11.38 4.67–12.21 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.61 | 16.63 11.01–22.26 9.44–23.82 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.86 2.21–5.51 1.72–6.01 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.94 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 46.64 39.85–53.43 38.18–55.10 | 54.27 47.48–61.05 45.81–62.73 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 345 278–412 260–431 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 757 623–890 587–926 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.60 56.57–64.63 55.28–65.92 | 68.45 64.13–72.78 62.82–74.09 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.16 10.32–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 12.87 9.92–15.81 9.17–16.56 | 26.03 20.25–31.81 18.74–33.31 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.79–3.42 | 2.11 0.98–3.23 0.69–3.53 | 4.21 2.03–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.44 1.18–4.82 | 3.02 1.46–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.