Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.032.58safe0.58–2.520.17–1.880.76–4.40safer0.33–2.770.00–2.110.28–4.88
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.829.03safe3.35–7.072.08–5.565.43–12.64safer2.86–7.561.61–6.034.47–13.59
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0711.2726.35safe11.15–19.007.71–14.8418.86–33.83safer10.06–20.096.75–15.8016.81–35.88
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.687.0516.73safe6.74–12.624.37–9.7311.11–22.36safer5.91–13.453.63–10.479.54–23.92
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.726.82safe2.22–5.981.07–4.383.29–10.36safer1.67–6.530.58–4.872.25–11.40
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.169.73safe3.36–7.782.16–6.165.52–13.94safer2.78–8.361.63–6.694.41–15.05
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction55.9042.94safe49.11–62.6936.15–49.72safer47.44–64.3634.48–51.39
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction444313757safe377–511246–379623–890safer358–529229–397587–926
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction67.2665.57safe63.23–71.2961.25–69.90safer61.94–72.5859.94–71.21
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5713.8825.45safe8.74–14.4110.93–16.8219.67–31.24safer7.98–15.1710.19–17.5718.17–32.74
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.683.17safe0.33–2.650.59–2.780.92–5.42safer0.02–2.950.30–3.070.33–6.01
Yellow cards
28%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.213.83safe0.57–2.671.08–3.341.65–6.01safer0.30–2.930.79–3.631.09–6.56
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.140.20safe0.00–0.210.00–0.330.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.355.75safe0.97–3.841.79–4.902.76–8.74safer0.58–4.231.36–5.331.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 49% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.82 2.08–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.07 11.15–19.00 10.06–20.09 | 11.27 7.71–14.84 6.75–15.80 | 26.35 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.88 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.68 6.74–12.62 5.91–13.45 | 7.05 4.37–9.73 3.63–10.47 | 16.73 11.11–22.36 9.54–23.92 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.53 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 6.82 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.40 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.69 | 9.73 5.52–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.90 49.11–62.69 47.44–64.36 | 42.94 36.15–49.72 34.48–51.39 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 358–529 | 313 246–379 229–397 | 757 623–890 587–926 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.26 63.23–71.29 61.94–72.58 | 65.57 61.25–69.90 59.94–71.21 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.74–14.41 7.98–15.17 | 13.88 10.93–16.82 10.19–17.57 | 25.45 19.67–31.24 18.17–32.74 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.07 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 28% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.33 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.95–9.56 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.