Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.810.872.69safe0.84–2.780.02–1.730.86–4.51safer0.59–3.030.00–1.960.38–4.99
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.559.32safe3.91–7.631.81–5.305.72–12.93safer3.42–8.121.34–5.764.76–13.88
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6110.2727.88safe13.69–21.536.71–13.8420.40–35.37safer12.59–22.635.75–14.8018.35–37.42
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.415.7117.12safe8.47–14.363.03–8.3911.50–22.75safer7.64–15.192.29–9.139.93–24.31
Blocked shots
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.487.02safe2.65–6.410.83–4.143.48–10.55safer2.11–6.960.34–4.632.45–11.59
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.399.95safe4.34–8.771.39–5.395.74–14.17safer3.77–9.340.86–5.934.63–15.27
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.3338.71safe54.54–68.1231.92–45.49safer52.87–69.7930.25–47.17
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction544330873safe476–611263–396740–1007safer458–629246–414704–1043
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction77.8469.57safe73.81–81.8765.24–73.89safer72.52–83.1663.94–75.20
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6413.0424.67safe8.80–14.4710.09–15.9818.89–30.45safer8.04–15.239.34–16.7317.39–31.96
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.363.01safe0.49–2.810.26–2.450.76–5.26safer0.19–3.110.00–2.740.17–5.85
Yellow cards
27%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.504.24safe0.69–2.791.37–3.632.06–6.42safer0.43–3.061.08–3.921.51–6.98
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
22%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.946.43safe1.05–3.922.39–5.503.43–9.42safer0.66–4.311.96–5.922.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 0.87 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.69 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 59% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.91–7.63 3.42–8.12 | 3.55 1.81–5.30 1.34–5.76 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.61 13.69–21.53 12.59–22.63 | 10.27 6.71–13.84 5.75–14.80 | 27.88 20.40–35.37 18.35–37.42 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.64–15.19 | 5.71 3.03–8.39 2.29–9.13 | 17.12 11.50–22.75 9.93–24.31 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.11–6.96 | 2.48 0.83–4.14 0.34–4.63 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 72% 16% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.34–8.77 3.77–9.34 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.86–5.93 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 80% |
| Possession % | 61.33 54.54–68.12 52.87–69.79 | 38.71 31.92–45.49 30.25–47.17 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 544 476–611 458–629 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 873 740–1007 704–1043 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.84 73.81–81.87 72.52–83.16 | 69.57 65.24–73.89 63.94–75.20 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.47 8.04–15.23 | 13.04 10.09–15.98 9.34–16.73 | 24.67 18.89–30.45 17.39–31.96 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.36 0.26–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 27% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.94 2.39–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.43 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 22% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+