Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.682.85safe0.20–2.130.83–2.541.02–4.67safer0.00–2.380.60–2.760.54–5.15
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.935.129.05safe2.06–5.793.38–6.865.44–12.65safer1.57–6.282.91–7.334.49–13.61
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8915.2528.14safe8.97–16.8211.69–18.8120.66–35.63safer7.88–17.9110.73–19.7718.61–37.68
Shots in box
27%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction7.299.2716.56safe4.35–10.236.59–11.9510.94–22.18safer3.52–11.065.85–12.699.37–23.75
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.314.227.53safe1.43–5.192.57–5.873.99–11.06safer0.88–5.732.07–6.362.96–12.10
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.5310.10safe2.36–6.793.53–7.535.89–14.31safer1.79–7.362.99–8.064.78–15.42
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.2459.83safe33.45–47.0353.05–66.62safer31.78–48.7051.38–68.29
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction339510848safe272–406443–576715–982safer253–424426–594679–1018
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction65.2378.04safe61.20–69.2673.72–82.37safer59.91–70.5572.41–83.68
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6812.0924.77safe9.84–15.519.15–15.0418.99–30.55safer9.08–16.278.40–15.7917.48–32.06
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.503.11safe0.45–2.770.41–2.590.86–5.36safer0.15–3.070.12–2.880.27–5.95
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.003.94safe0.89–2.990.87–3.131.76–6.12safer0.62–3.250.58–3.421.21–6.68
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.926.38safe2.02–4.901.37–4.483.39–9.37safer1.64–5.280.94–4.902.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.76 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 26% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.93 2.06–5.79 1.57–6.28 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.89 8.97–16.82 7.88–17.91 | 15.25 11.69–18.81 10.73–19.77 | 28.14 20.66–35.63 18.61–37.68 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.29 4.35–10.23 3.52–11.06 | 9.27 6.59–11.95 5.85–12.69 | 16.56 10.94–22.18 9.37–23.75 | 27% 64% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 5.53 3.53–7.53 2.99–8.06 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 40.24 33.45–47.03 31.78–48.70 | 59.83 53.05–66.62 51.38–68.29 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 339 272–406 253–424 | 510 443–576 426–594 | 848 715–982 679–1018 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.23 61.20–69.26 59.91–70.55 | 78.04 73.72–82.37 72.41–83.68 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.68 9.84–15.51 9.08–16.27 | 12.09 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 24.77 18.99–30.55 17.48–32.06 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.11 0.86–5.36 0.27–5.95 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.90 1.64–5.28 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.19 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+