Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.292.85safe0.60–2.530.44–2.141.03–4.68safer0.34–2.780.21–2.370.55–5.16
Shots on target
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.8910.16safe3.40–7.133.15–6.646.55–13.76safer2.91–7.622.68–7.105.60–14.72
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1814.3129.49safe11.25–19.1010.75–17.8722.00–36.98safer10.16–20.199.79–18.8319.95–39.03
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.479.0818.55safe6.53–12.416.40–11.7612.93–24.18safer5.70–13.245.66–12.5011.36–25.74
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.198.51safe2.44–6.202.53–5.844.97–12.04safer1.89–6.742.04–6.333.94–13.08
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.355.1510.49safe3.13–7.563.15–7.156.28–14.71safer2.56–8.132.61–7.685.17–15.81
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.2252.19safe41.43–55.0145.40–58.97safer39.76–56.6843.73–60.65
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction408432839safe341–475365–498706–973safer322–493348–516670–1009
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction69.8573.88safe65.83–73.8869.56–78.21safer64.53–75.1868.25–79.52
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3512.6223.97safe8.52–14.199.68–15.5618.19–29.76safer7.76–14.958.93–16.3116.69–31.26
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.402.81safe0.25–2.570.31–2.500.56–5.06safer0.00–2.870.02–2.780.00–5.65
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.142.104.23safe1.09–3.190.97–3.232.06–6.41safer0.82–3.450.68–3.521.50–6.97
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.506.81safe1.87–4.741.95–5.063.82–9.80safer1.48–5.131.52–5.483.00–10.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.60–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.29 0.44–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 4.89 3.15–6.64 2.68–7.10 | 10.16 6.55–13.76 5.60–14.72 | 48% 39% |
| Total shots | 15.18 11.25–19.10 10.16–20.19 | 14.31 10.75–17.87 9.79–18.83 | 29.49 22.00–36.98 19.95–39.03 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.53–12.41 5.70–13.24 | 9.08 6.40–11.76 5.66–12.50 | 18.55 12.93–24.18 11.36–25.74 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 4.19 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 8.51 4.97–12.04 3.94–13.08 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.61–7.68 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.22 41.43–55.01 39.76–56.68 | 52.19 45.40–58.97 43.73–60.65 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 408 341–475 322–493 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.85 65.83–73.88 64.53–75.18 | 73.88 69.56–78.21 68.25–79.52 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 12.62 9.68–15.56 8.93–16.31 | 23.97 18.19–29.76 16.69–31.26 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 2.81 0.56–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 4.23 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.81 3.82–9.80 3.00–10.61 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.