Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.333.16safe0.86–2.800.47–2.181.34–4.98safer0.61–3.050.25–2.410.86–5.46
Shots on target
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.7510.40safe3.79–7.523.01–6.496.80–14.01safer3.30–8.012.54–6.965.84–14.96
Total shots
66%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2913.6129.90safe12.37–20.2210.04–17.1722.41–37.39safer11.28–21.319.08–18.1320.36–39.44
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.558.3818.93safe7.60–13.495.70–11.0613.30–24.55safer6.78–14.324.96–11.8011.74–26.12
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.527.86safe2.46–6.221.86–5.174.32–11.39safer1.92–6.771.37–5.663.29–12.43
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.354.4110.76safe4.14–8.572.41–6.416.55–14.98safer3.57–9.141.87–6.945.44–16.08
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.7846.65safe46.99–60.5739.86–53.43safer45.32–62.2438.19–55.10
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction483402885safe416–550335–468751–1019safer398–568318–486716–1054
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction73.0472.38safe69.02–77.0768.06–76.71safer67.72–78.3766.75–78.02
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3411.0522.38safe8.50–14.178.10–13.9916.60–28.16safer7.74–14.937.35–14.7415.10–29.67
Offsides
50%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.202.96safe0.60–2.920.11–2.300.71–5.21safer0.30–3.220.00–2.580.12–5.80
Yellow cards
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.003.52safe0.48–2.580.87–3.131.35–5.70safer0.21–2.840.58–3.420.79–6.26
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.776.85safe1.65–4.522.21–5.323.86–9.84safer1.26–4.911.79–5.753.05–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.79–7.52 3.30–8.01 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 10.40 6.80–14.01 5.84–14.96 | 55% 33% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.37–20.22 11.28–21.31 | 13.61 10.04–17.17 9.08–18.13 | 29.90 22.41–37.39 20.36–39.44 | 66% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.78–14.32 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.80 | 18.93 13.30–24.55 11.74–26.12 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.92–6.77 | 3.52 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.57 3.57–9.14 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.87–6.94 | 10.76 6.55–14.98 5.44–16.08 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.78 46.99–60.57 45.32–62.24 | 46.65 39.86–53.43 38.19–55.10 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–568 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.04 69.02–77.07 67.72–78.37 | 72.38 68.06–76.71 66.75–78.02 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.50–14.17 7.74–14.93 | 11.05 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 22.38 16.60–28.16 15.10–29.67 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.20 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.58 | 2.96 0.71–5.21 0.12–5.80 | 50% 23% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 3.77 2.21–5.32 1.79–5.75 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.05–10.65 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+