Liga I·Regular Season - 13·
Liga I·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.062.93safe0.00–1.831.21–2.921.10–4.75safer0.00–2.080.98–3.140.62–5.23
Shots on target
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.125.899.01safe1.25–4.984.15–7.635.40–12.61safer0.76–5.473.68–8.104.44–13.57
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5316.8526.37safe5.60–13.4513.28–20.4118.89–33.86safer4.51–14.5412.32–21.3716.84–35.91
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4411.5717.01safe2.50–8.398.89–14.2511.39–22.64safer1.67–9.218.15–14.999.82–24.20
Blocked shots
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.456.81safe0.48–4.252.79–6.103.28–10.35safer0.00–4.792.30–6.592.24–11.38
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.446.509.94safe1.22–5.654.50–8.505.72–14.15safer0.65–6.233.97–9.034.62–15.26
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.6655.09safe38.87–52.4548.31–61.88safer37.20–54.1246.64–63.55
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction417474891safe350–485407–540758–1025safer332–503390–558722–1061
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction66.9375.30safe62.90–70.9670.97–79.62safer61.61–72.2569.66–80.93
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7912.8023.59safe7.95–13.639.86–15.7517.81–29.38safer7.20–14.389.11–16.5016.31–30.88
Offsides
52%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.573.76safe1.03–3.350.48–2.671.51–6.02safer0.73–3.650.19–2.950.92–6.61
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.863.84safe0.93–3.030.74–2.991.66–6.02safer0.66–3.290.44–3.281.11–6.58
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
62%
15%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.325.88safe2.13–5.000.76–3.872.89–8.88safer1.74–5.390.34–4.302.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 2.06 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.14 | 2.93 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.12 1.25–4.98 0.76–5.47 | 5.89 4.15–7.63 3.68–8.10 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.57 | 13% 78% |
| Total shots | 9.53 5.60–13.45 4.51–14.54 | 16.85 13.28–20.41 12.32–21.37 | 26.37 18.89–33.86 16.84–35.91 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.44 2.50–8.39 1.67–9.21 | 11.57 8.89–14.25 8.15–14.99 | 17.01 11.39–22.64 9.82–24.20 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 0.48–4.25 0.00–4.79 | 4.45 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 16% 73% |
| Corners | 3.44 1.22–5.65 0.65–6.23 | 6.50 4.50–8.50 3.97–9.03 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 79% |
| Possession % | 45.66 38.87–52.45 37.20–54.12 | 55.09 48.31–61.88 46.64–63.55 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 417 350–485 332–503 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 891 758–1025 722–1061 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.93 62.90–70.96 61.61–72.25 | 75.30 70.97–79.62 69.66–80.93 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.20–14.38 | 12.80 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 23.59 17.81–29.38 16.31–30.88 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 1.57 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.95 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 52% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.32 0.76–3.87 0.34–4.30 | 5.88 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 62% 15% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.