Liga I·Regular Season - 28·
Liga I·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.050.723.77safe2.09–4.020.00–1.571.95–5.60safer1.83–4.270.00–1.801.47–6.08
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.652.7110.36safe5.78–9.510.97–4.466.75–13.96safer5.29–10.000.50–4.925.80–14.92
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.968.6228.58safe16.04–23.895.06–12.1921.10–36.07safer14.94–24.984.10–13.1519.05–38.12
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.104.7818.88safe11.15–17.042.10–7.4613.25–24.50safer10.32–17.871.36–8.2011.69–26.07
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.802.317.11safe2.92–6.680.66–3.963.57–10.64safer2.37–7.220.16–4.452.54–11.68
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.052.779.82safe4.83–9.260.77–4.775.61–14.03safer4.26–9.830.24–5.314.50–15.14
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.5143.03safe49.72–63.3036.25–49.82safer48.05–64.9734.58–51.49
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction530415944safe462–597348–481810–1078safer444–615331–499775–1113
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction75.6771.76safe71.64–79.7067.44–76.09safer70.35–80.9966.13–77.40
Fouls
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.379.8822.25safe9.53–15.206.93–12.8216.46–28.03safer8.77–15.966.19–13.5714.96–29.53
Offsides
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.893.48safe0.43–2.750.79–2.981.22–5.73safer0.13–3.050.50–3.270.63–6.32
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.893.07safe0.13–2.230.76–3.020.89–5.25safer0.00–2.500.47–3.310.34–5.81
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.934.246.17safe0.49–3.362.68–5.793.17–9.16safer0.10–3.752.26–6.222.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.05 2.09–4.02 1.83–4.27 | 0.72 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 3.77 1.95–5.60 1.47–6.08 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 7.65 5.78–9.51 5.29–10.00 | 2.71 0.97–4.46 0.50–4.92 | 10.36 6.75–13.96 5.80–14.92 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.96 16.04–23.89 14.94–24.98 | 8.62 5.06–12.19 4.10–13.15 | 28.58 21.10–36.07 19.05–38.12 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.10 11.15–17.04 10.32–17.87 | 4.78 2.10–7.46 1.36–8.20 | 18.88 13.25–24.50 11.69–26.07 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.68 2.37–7.22 | 2.31 0.66–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.83–9.26 4.26–9.83 | 2.77 0.77–4.77 0.24–5.31 | 9.82 5.61–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 89% |
| Possession % | 56.51 49.72–63.30 48.05–64.97 | 43.03 36.25–49.82 34.58–51.49 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 530 462–597 444–615 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 944 810–1078 775–1113 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.67 71.64–79.70 70.35–80.99 | 71.76 67.44–76.09 66.13–77.40 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.20 8.77–15.96 | 9.88 6.93–12.82 6.19–13.57 | 22.25 16.46–28.03 14.96–29.53 | 66% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.59 0.43–2.75 0.13–3.05 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.07 0.89–5.25 0.34–5.81 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.93 0.49–3.36 0.10–3.75 | 4.24 2.68–5.79 2.26–6.22 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.