Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.022.28safe0.29–2.220.17–1.880.45–4.10safer0.04–2.470.00–2.100.00–4.58
Shots on target
51%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.878.30safe2.56–6.292.13–5.624.69–11.90safer2.07–6.781.67–6.083.74–12.86
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9012.4626.37safe9.98–17.838.90–16.0318.88–33.85safer8.88–18.927.94–16.9916.83–35.90
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.377.6916.05safe5.42–11.315.00–10.3710.43–21.67safer4.59–12.144.27–11.108.86–23.24
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.896.76safe1.98–5.741.24–4.553.22–10.29safer1.44–6.290.75–5.042.19–11.33
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.619.82safe2.99–7.422.61–6.615.60–14.03safer2.42–7.992.08–7.154.50–15.14
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.4345.84safe47.63–61.2239.05–52.62safer45.97–62.8937.38–54.29
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction441332773safe374–508266–398640–907safer356–527248–416604–943
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction64.2064.89safe60.17–68.2360.57–69.21safer58.88–69.5259.26–70.52
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8912.8224.72safe9.06–14.739.88–15.7718.94–30.50safer8.30–15.499.13–16.5217.43–32.00
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.863.32safe0.30–2.620.76–2.951.07–5.57safer0.00–2.920.48–3.240.48–6.16
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.112.364.47safe1.06–3.161.23–3.492.29–6.65safer0.80–3.430.94–3.781.74–7.21
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
37%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.742.985.72safe1.30–4.171.43–4.542.73–8.71safer0.91–4.561.00–4.961.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.28 0.45–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.56–6.29 2.07–6.78 | 3.87 2.13–5.62 1.67–6.08 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 51% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.90 9.98–17.83 8.88–18.92 | 12.46 8.90–16.03 7.94–16.99 | 26.37 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.90 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.37 5.42–11.31 4.59–12.14 | 7.69 5.00–10.37 4.27–11.10 | 16.05 10.43–21.67 8.86–23.24 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.44–6.29 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 6.76 3.22–10.29 2.19–11.33 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.21 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 9.82 5.60–14.03 4.50–15.14 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 54.43 47.63–61.22 45.97–62.89 | 45.84 39.05–52.62 37.38–54.29 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–527 | 332 266–398 248–416 | 773 640–907 604–943 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.20 60.17–68.23 58.88–69.52 | 64.89 60.57–69.21 59.26–70.52 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.06–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 12.82 9.88–15.77 9.13–16.52 | 24.72 18.94–30.50 17.43–32.00 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.47 2.29–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.92–9.53 | 37% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.