Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.202.63safe0.47–2.400.34–2.050.81–4.45safer0.22–2.650.11–2.280.33–4.93
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.129.04safe3.06–6.782.37–5.865.43–12.64safer2.57–7.271.91–6.324.47–13.60
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7112.1526.87safe10.79–18.648.59–15.7219.38–34.35safer9.70–19.737.63–16.6717.33–36.40
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.986.8616.84safe7.04–12.924.18–9.5411.21–22.46safer6.21–13.753.44–10.289.65–24.03
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.517.42safe2.03–5.801.86–5.163.89–10.96safer1.49–6.341.36–5.652.85–11.99
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.169.84safe3.46–7.892.16–6.165.62–14.05safer2.89–8.461.63–6.694.52–15.16
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.6651.49safe40.87–54.4544.71–58.28safer39.20–56.1243.04–59.95
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction365407772safe298–433340–473638–906safer280–451323–491603–941
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction61.6668.45safe57.63–65.6964.12–72.77safer56.33–66.9862.81–74.08
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.6324.49safe9.02–14.699.69–15.5818.71–30.27safer8.26–15.458.94–16.3317.20–31.77
Offsides
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.293.29safe0.85–3.170.19–2.381.04–5.55safer0.55–3.470.00–2.670.45–6.14
Yellow cards
41%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.154.32safe1.12–3.221.02–3.282.14–6.50safer0.86–3.490.73–3.571.58–7.06
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.296.09safe1.37–4.241.73–4.853.10–9.08safer0.98–4.631.31–5.272.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.65 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.92 3.06–6.78 2.57–7.27 | 4.12 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.60 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.71 10.79–18.64 9.70–19.73 | 12.15 8.59–15.72 7.63–16.67 | 26.87 19.38–34.35 17.33–36.40 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.98 7.04–12.92 6.21–13.75 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.28 | 16.84 11.21–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.69 | 9.84 5.62–14.05 4.52–15.16 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 47.66 40.87–54.45 39.20–56.12 | 51.49 44.71–58.28 43.04–59.95 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 365 298–433 280–451 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 772 638–906 603–941 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.66 57.63–65.69 56.33–66.98 | 68.45 64.12–72.77 62.81–74.08 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.33 | 24.49 18.71–30.27 17.20–31.77 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.29 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.32 2.14–6.50 1.58–7.06 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+