Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.172.98safe0.85–2.780.31–2.021.16–4.80safer0.60–3.030.08–2.250.68–5.28
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.209.88safe3.82–7.542.46–5.946.28–13.49safer3.33–8.031.99–6.415.32–14.45
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0311.9627.99safe12.11–19.968.40–15.5220.51–35.48safer11.02–21.057.44–16.4818.46–37.53
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.327.4217.73safe7.37–13.264.73–10.1012.11–23.36safer6.54–14.094.00–10.8310.54–24.92
Blocked shots
58%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.052.987.04safe2.17–5.941.33–4.643.50–10.57safer1.63–6.480.84–5.132.47–11.61
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.094.3710.46safe3.88–8.302.37–6.376.24–14.67safer3.30–8.881.83–6.905.13–15.78
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9342.43safe51.14–64.7235.64–49.21safer49.47–66.3933.97–50.88
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction477351828safe410–544285–418694–962safer391–562267–435659–997
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction73.4269.39safe69.39–77.4565.07–73.72safer68.10–78.7463.76–75.03
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2014.0926.29safe9.37–15.0411.14–17.0320.51–32.07safer8.61–15.8010.40–17.7819.01–33.58
Offsides
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.913.69safe0.62–2.940.82–3.011.44–5.95safer0.32–3.240.53–3.300.85–6.54
Yellow cards
31%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.384.27safe0.84–2.941.25–3.512.09–6.45safer0.57–3.200.96–3.801.54–7.01
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.963.796.75safe1.53–4.402.23–5.343.76–9.74safer1.14–4.791.81–5.772.95–10.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.85–2.78 0.60–3.03 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.68 3.82–7.54 3.33–8.03 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 9.88 6.28–13.49 5.32–14.45 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.03 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 11.96 8.40–15.52 7.44–16.48 | 27.99 20.51–35.48 18.46–37.53 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.32 7.37–13.26 6.54–14.09 | 7.42 4.73–10.10 4.00–10.83 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 2.98 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 58% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.30 3.30–8.88 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.46 6.24–14.67 5.13–15.78 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 57.93 51.14–64.72 49.47–66.39 | 42.43 35.64–49.21 33.97–50.88 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 391–562 | 351 285–418 267–435 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.42 69.39–77.45 68.10–78.74 | 69.39 65.07–73.72 63.76–75.03 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.20 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 14.09 11.14–17.03 10.40–17.78 | 26.29 20.51–32.07 19.01–33.58 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.30 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 31% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.79 2.23–5.34 1.81–5.77 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.95–10.56 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.