Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.583.11safe0.57–2.500.72–2.431.29–4.94safer0.32–2.760.49–2.660.81–5.42
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.919.57safe2.80–6.533.17–6.655.97–13.18safer2.31–7.022.70–7.125.01–14.13
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1413.7427.88safe10.22–18.0710.17–17.3020.39–35.37safer9.13–19.169.22–18.2618.34–37.42
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.018.2917.30safe6.07–11.955.61–10.9711.68–22.92safer5.24–12.784.87–11.7110.11–24.49
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.663.607.26safe1.78–5.541.95–5.253.72–10.80safer1.23–6.091.46–5.752.69–11.83
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.7110.09safe3.17–7.602.71–6.715.88–14.31safer2.60–8.172.17–7.244.77–15.41
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction46.0554.87safe39.26–52.8448.09–61.66safer37.59–54.5146.42–63.33
Passes
31%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction384442826safe317–451376–508692–960safer299–469358–526657–995
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction68.9874.32safe64.95–73.0170.00–78.65safer63.66–74.3068.69–79.96
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.4725.01safe9.71–15.389.52–15.4119.23–30.80safer8.95–16.148.78–16.1617.73–32.30
Offsides
50%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.663.83safe1.01–3.330.57–2.751.58–6.08safer0.71–3.630.28–3.040.99–6.67
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.053.90safe0.80–2.890.92–3.181.72–6.08safer0.53–3.160.63–3.471.16–6.63
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.136.44safe1.87–4.741.58–4.693.45–9.43safer1.48–5.131.15–5.112.64–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.76 | 1.58 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 3.11 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.53 2.31–7.02 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.14 10.22–18.07 9.13–19.16 | 13.74 10.17–17.30 9.22–18.26 | 27.88 20.39–35.37 18.34–37.42 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.01 6.07–11.95 5.24–12.78 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 17.30 11.68–22.92 10.11–24.49 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.23–6.09 | 3.60 1.95–5.25 1.46–5.75 | 7.26 3.72–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.17–7.24 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 46.05 39.26–52.84 37.59–54.51 | 54.87 48.09–61.66 46.42–63.33 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–469 | 442 376–508 358–526 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 31% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.98 64.95–73.01 63.66–74.30 | 74.32 70.00–78.65 68.69–79.96 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 12.47 9.52–15.41 8.78–16.16 | 25.01 19.23–30.80 17.73–32.30 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 50% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.31 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.11 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.24 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.