Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.862.87safe1.04–2.980.00–1.711.05–4.69safer0.79–3.230.00–1.940.57–5.17
Shots on target
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.399.72safe4.47–8.201.64–5.136.11–13.32safer3.98–8.681.18–5.595.16–14.28
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.749.9427.67safe13.81–21.666.37–13.5020.19–35.16safer12.72–22.755.41–14.4618.14–37.21
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.546.4918.03safe8.60–14.483.81–9.1712.41–23.65safer7.77–15.313.07–9.9110.84–25.22
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.977.90safe3.05–6.811.32–4.634.37–11.44safer2.50–7.360.83–5.123.33–12.47
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.0910.15safe4.84–9.271.09–5.095.93–14.36safer4.27–9.840.56–5.634.82–15.47
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.7038.45safe53.91–67.4931.67–45.24safer52.24–69.1630.00–46.91
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction554326880safe487–621260–393746–1014safer468–639242–410711–1049
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction75.0367.70safe71.00–79.0663.37–72.02safer69.70–80.3562.06–73.33
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6612.6024.26safe8.82–14.509.66–15.5518.48–30.05safer8.06–15.258.91–16.3016.98–31.55
Offsides
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.202.90safe0.54–2.860.11–2.300.65–5.16safer0.24–3.160.00–2.580.06–5.74
Yellow cards
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.163.49safe0.28–2.381.04–3.291.32–5.67safer0.01–2.650.74–3.580.76–6.23
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.344.216.55safe0.90–3.782.65–5.773.56–9.54safer0.52–4.162.23–6.192.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 64% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.20 3.98–8.68 | 3.39 1.64–5.13 1.18–5.59 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 79% 13% |
| Total shots | 17.74 13.81–21.66 12.72–22.75 | 9.94 6.37–13.50 5.41–14.46 | 27.67 20.19–35.16 18.14–37.21 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.54 8.60–14.48 7.77–15.31 | 6.49 3.81–9.17 3.07–9.91 | 18.03 12.41–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.05–6.81 2.50–7.36 | 2.97 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.27 4.27–9.84 | 3.09 1.09–5.09 0.56–5.63 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.47 | 87% |
| Possession % | 60.70 53.91–67.49 52.24–69.16 | 38.45 31.67–45.24 30.00–46.91 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 554 487–621 468–639 | 326 260–393 242–410 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.03 71.00–79.06 69.70–80.35 | 67.70 63.37–72.02 62.06–73.33 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.82–14.50 8.06–15.25 | 12.60 9.66–15.55 8.91–16.30 | 24.26 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.20 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.58 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.74 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.65 | 2.16 1.04–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.49 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.78 0.52–4.16 | 4.21 2.65–5.77 2.23–6.19 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+