Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.652.88safe0.26–2.200.80–2.511.06–4.70safer0.01–2.450.57–2.740.58–5.18
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.739.68safe2.08–5.813.99–7.486.07–13.28safer1.59–6.303.53–7.945.12–14.24
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1815.9428.12safe8.25–16.1012.38–19.5120.63–35.61safer7.16–17.1911.42–20.4718.58–37.66
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.279.8417.11safe4.32–10.217.16–12.5211.48–22.73safer3.49–11.046.42–13.269.92–24.30
Blocked shots
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.284.387.66safe1.40–5.172.72–6.034.13–11.20safer0.86–5.712.23–6.523.09–12.23
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.935.829.75safe1.72–6.143.82–7.825.54–13.96safer1.14–6.723.29–8.354.43–15.07
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.6057.57safe35.81–49.3950.79–64.35safer34.14–51.0649.11–66.03
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction363492855safe296–430426–559721–989safer278–448408–576686–1025
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.9875.61safe61.95–70.0171.29–79.94safer60.66–71.3069.98–81.25
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3413.0125.34safe9.50–15.1710.06–15.9519.56–31.13safer8.74–15.939.32–16.7018.06–32.63
Offsides
31%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.753.18safe0.27–2.590.66–2.840.92–5.43safer0.00–2.890.37–3.130.33–6.02
Yellow cards
50%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.493.51safe0.97–3.070.36–2.621.33–5.69safer0.70–3.330.07–2.910.77–6.24
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.636.30safe2.23–5.101.08–4.193.31–9.29safer1.84–5.490.65–4.612.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.65 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 28% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.30 | 5.73 3.99–7.48 3.53–7.94 | 9.68 6.07–13.28 5.12–14.24 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.18 8.25–16.10 7.16–17.19 | 15.94 12.38–19.51 11.42–20.47 | 28.12 20.63–35.61 18.58–37.66 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.27 4.32–10.21 3.49–11.04 | 9.84 7.16–12.52 6.42–13.26 | 17.11 11.48–22.73 9.92–24.30 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 3.93 1.72–6.14 1.14–6.72 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.29–8.35 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 42.60 35.81–49.39 34.14–51.06 | 57.57 50.79–64.35 49.11–66.03 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 278–448 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 855 721–989 686–1025 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.98 61.95–70.01 60.66–71.30 | 75.61 71.29–79.94 69.98–81.25 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.34 9.50–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 13.01 10.06–15.95 9.32–16.70 | 25.34 19.56–31.13 18.06–32.63 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.89 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.18 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 31% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.51 1.33–5.69 0.77–6.24 | 50% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.10 1.84–5.49 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+