Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.783.08safe0.33–2.270.93–2.631.25–4.90safer0.08–2.520.70–2.860.77–5.38
Shots on target
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.374.959.32safe2.51–6.233.21–6.695.71–12.92safer2.02–6.722.74–7.164.76–13.88
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4714.2327.70safe9.54–17.3910.67–17.8020.21–35.19safer8.45–18.489.71–18.7618.16–37.24
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.628.7217.34safe5.68–11.566.04–11.4011.72–22.96safer4.85–12.395.30–12.1410.15–24.53
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.667.21safe1.67–5.432.01–5.323.68–10.75safer1.12–5.981.52–5.812.64–11.78
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.4610.54safe2.87–7.293.46–7.466.33–14.76safer2.29–7.872.93–8.005.22–15.86
Possession %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction43.5756.71safe36.78–50.3649.92–63.49safer35.11–52.0348.25–65.17
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction396519914safe328–463452–585780–1048safer310–481435–603745–1084
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction64.8072.71safe60.78–68.8368.39–77.04safer59.48–70.1367.08–78.35
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4111.7123.12safe8.57–14.248.77–14.6617.34–28.90safer7.81–15.008.02–15.4115.83–30.41
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.523.06safe0.38–2.700.42–2.610.81–5.31safer0.08–3.000.14–2.900.22–5.90
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.943.79safe0.80–2.890.81–3.071.61–5.97safer0.53–3.160.52–3.361.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.166.54safe1.95–4.821.60–4.713.55–9.54safer1.56–5.211.18–5.142.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.78 0.93–2.63 0.70–2.86 | 3.08 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 4.95 3.21–6.69 2.74–7.16 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.47 9.54–17.39 8.45–18.48 | 14.23 10.67–17.80 9.71–18.76 | 27.70 20.21–35.19 18.16–37.24 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 8.72 6.04–11.40 5.30–12.14 | 17.34 11.72–22.96 10.15–24.53 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.12–5.98 | 3.66 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.29 2.29–7.87 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–8.00 | 10.54 6.33–14.76 5.22–15.86 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 43.57 36.78–50.36 35.11–52.03 | 56.71 49.92–63.49 48.25–65.17 | — | 20% 76% |
| Passes | 396 328–463 310–481 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 914 780–1048 745–1084 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.80 60.78–68.83 59.48–70.13 | 72.71 68.39–77.04 67.08–78.35 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 11.71 8.77–14.66 8.02–15.41 | 23.12 17.34–28.90 15.83–30.41 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.06 0.81–5.31 0.22–5.90 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.54 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 46% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.