Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.072.98safe0.94–2.870.22–1.931.16–4.80safer0.69–3.130.00–2.160.68–5.28
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.0210.10safe4.22–7.942.27–5.766.49–13.70safer3.73–8.431.81–6.235.53–14.66
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6812.1729.85safe13.75–21.608.61–15.7322.36–37.34safer12.66–22.707.65–16.6920.31–39.39
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.937.3018.23safe7.99–13.874.62–9.9812.60–23.85safer7.16–14.703.88–10.7211.04–25.42
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.327.61safe2.40–6.171.67–4.984.08–11.15safer1.86–6.711.18–5.473.04–12.18
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.584.2210.80safe4.37–8.802.22–6.226.59–15.01safer3.80–9.371.68–6.755.48–16.12
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0142.42safe50.22–63.8035.63–49.20safer48.55–65.4733.96–50.87
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction540370909safe472–607303–436776–1043safer454–625286–454740–1079
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.4069.89safe68.37–76.4365.56–74.21safer67.08–77.7264.26–75.52
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2010.7922.00safe8.37–14.047.85–13.7416.21–27.78safer7.61–14.807.10–14.4914.71–29.28
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.282.96safe0.52–2.840.19–2.370.71–5.21safer0.22–3.140.00–2.660.12–5.80
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.803.30safe0.45–2.550.67–2.931.13–5.48safer0.19–2.820.38–3.220.57–6.04
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.774.186.95safe1.33–4.202.62–5.743.95–9.94safer0.94–4.592.20–6.163.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.87 0.69–3.13 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.08 4.22–7.94 3.73–8.43 | 4.02 2.27–5.76 1.81–6.23 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.66 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.68 13.75–21.60 12.66–22.70 | 12.17 8.61–15.73 7.65–16.69 | 29.85 22.36–37.34 20.31–39.39 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.93 7.99–13.87 7.16–14.70 | 7.30 4.62–9.98 3.88–10.72 | 18.23 12.60–23.85 11.04–25.42 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.40–6.17 1.86–6.71 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.58 4.37–8.80 3.80–9.37 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.68–6.75 | 10.80 6.59–15.01 5.48–16.12 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.01 50.22–63.80 48.55–65.47 | 42.42 35.63–49.20 33.96–50.87 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 540 472–607 454–625 | 370 303–436 286–454 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.40 68.37–76.43 67.08–77.72 | 69.89 65.56–74.21 64.26–75.52 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 10.79 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 22.00 16.21–27.78 14.71–29.28 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 2.96 0.71–5.21 0.12–5.80 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.30 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 4.18 2.62–5.74 2.20–6.16 | 6.95 3.95–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 23% 13% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+