Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.132.84safe0.74–2.680.28–1.991.02–4.66safer0.49–2.930.05–2.220.54–5.14
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.463.899.35safe3.60–7.322.15–5.635.74–12.95safer3.11–7.811.68–6.104.79–13.91
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1112.0428.16safe12.19–20.048.48–15.6120.67–35.64safer11.10–21.137.52–16.5618.62–37.69
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.717.1916.90safe6.76–12.654.51–9.8711.28–22.52safer5.93–13.483.78–10.619.71–24.09
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.237.39safe2.28–6.041.57–4.883.85–10.92safer1.73–6.581.08–5.372.82–11.96
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.939.71safe3.57–8.001.93–5.935.49–13.92safer2.99–8.571.39–6.464.39–15.03
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.3948.44safe45.60–59.1841.66–55.23safer43.93–60.8539.99–56.90
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction444420864safe377–511353–486730–997safer359–529336–504694–1033
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction72.9672.55safe68.93–76.9968.23–76.88safer67.64–78.2866.92–78.19
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3013.1426.45safe10.47–16.1410.20–16.0920.67–32.23safer9.71–16.909.45–16.8419.16–33.74
Offsides
42%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.292.80safe0.35–2.670.20–2.380.55–5.06safer0.05–2.970.00–2.670.00–5.64
Yellow cards
37%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.324.47safe1.11–3.201.19–3.452.29–6.65safer0.84–3.470.90–3.741.74–7.21
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.626.24safe1.18–4.062.07–5.183.25–9.23safer0.80–4.441.64–5.602.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.46 3.60–7.32 3.11–7.81 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.11 12.19–20.04 11.10–21.13 | 12.04 8.48–15.61 7.52–16.56 | 28.16 20.67–35.64 18.62–37.69 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.71 6.76–12.65 5.93–13.48 | 7.19 4.51–9.87 3.78–10.61 | 16.90 11.28–22.52 9.71–24.09 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.28–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.23 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–8.00 2.99–8.57 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.39–6.46 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.39 45.60–59.18 43.93–60.85 | 48.44 41.66–55.23 39.99–56.90 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.96 68.93–76.99 67.64–78.28 | 72.55 68.23–76.88 66.92–78.19 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 13.30 10.47–16.14 9.71–16.90 | 13.14 10.20–16.09 9.45–16.84 | 26.45 20.67–32.23 19.16–33.74 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.80 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.64 | 42% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.20 0.84–3.47 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.47 2.29–6.65 1.74–7.21 | 37% 19% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 3.62 2.07–5.18 1.64–5.60 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.