Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.542.87safe0.36–2.300.69–2.401.05–4.69safer0.11–2.550.46–2.620.57–5.17
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.515.029.53safe2.65–6.373.28–6.765.92–13.13safer2.16–6.862.81–7.234.97–14.09
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6514.0427.69safe9.72–17.5710.48–17.6120.20–35.18safer8.63–18.669.52–18.5718.15–37.23
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.178.6916.86safe5.23–11.116.01–11.3811.24–22.49safer4.40–11.945.28–12.119.67–24.05
Blocked shots
41%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.526.95safe1.55–5.321.86–5.173.42–10.49safer1.01–5.861.37–5.662.38–11.52
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.159.90safe2.54–6.973.15–7.155.69–14.11safer1.97–7.542.61–7.684.58–15.22
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.8749.20safe44.08–57.6642.42–55.99safer42.41–59.3340.74–57.66
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction444426870safe376–511360–493736–1004safer358–529342–510701–1039
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction71.4373.87safe67.40–75.4669.54–78.19safer66.11–76.7568.23–79.50
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7113.4626.17safe9.87–15.5510.51–16.4020.38–31.95safer9.12–16.309.76–17.1518.88–33.45
Offsides
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.292.77safe0.32–2.640.19–2.380.51–5.02safer0.02–2.940.00–2.670.00–5.61
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.124.13safe0.95–3.050.99–3.251.95–6.30safer0.69–3.320.70–3.541.39–6.86
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.896.11safe1.78–4.661.33–4.443.12–9.10safer1.40–5.040.91–4.872.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 5.02 3.28–6.76 2.81–7.23 | 9.53 5.92–13.13 4.97–14.09 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.65 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 14.04 10.48–17.61 9.52–18.57 | 27.69 20.20–35.18 18.15–37.23 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.23–11.11 4.40–11.94 | 8.69 6.01–11.38 5.28–12.11 | 16.86 11.24–22.49 9.67–24.05 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 3.52 1.86–5.17 1.37–5.66 | 6.95 3.42–10.49 2.38–11.52 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.61–7.68 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 50.87 44.08–57.66 42.41–59.33 | 49.20 42.42–55.99 40.74–57.66 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 444 376–511 358–529 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.43 67.40–75.46 66.11–76.75 | 73.87 69.54–78.19 68.23–79.50 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.30 | 13.46 10.51–16.40 9.76–17.15 | 26.17 20.38–31.95 18.88–33.45 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.77 0.51–5.02 0.00–5.61 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.78–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.91–4.87 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.