Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.392.65safe0.29–2.230.54–2.250.83–4.48safer0.04–2.480.31–2.480.35–4.96
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.488.80safe2.46–6.192.74–6.225.20–12.41safer1.97–6.682.27–6.694.24–13.36
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6013.0626.66safe9.67–17.529.50–16.6319.18–34.15safer8.58–18.618.54–17.5917.12–36.20
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction7.688.0115.70safe4.74–10.635.33–10.6910.07–21.32safer3.91–11.464.59–11.438.51–22.89
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.697.12safe1.55–5.312.04–5.353.59–10.66safer1.00–5.861.55–5.842.55–11.70
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.039.95safe2.71–7.143.03–7.035.73–14.16safer2.13–7.712.49–7.564.63–15.27
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction50.1450.67safe43.35–56.9343.88–57.45safer41.68–58.6042.21–59.12
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction419423843safe352–487357–490709–976safer334–505339–507673–1012
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction65.5469.64safe61.51–69.5765.32–73.96safer60.22–70.8664.01–75.27
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6712.4324.10safe8.84–14.519.48–15.3718.32–29.88safer8.08–15.278.73–16.1216.81–31.39
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.453.00safe0.39–2.710.36–2.540.75–5.26safer0.09–3.010.07–2.830.16–5.84
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.143.96safe0.77–2.861.02–3.271.78–6.14safer0.50–3.130.72–3.571.22–6.69
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.063.246.30safe1.62–4.501.68–4.793.30–9.29safer1.24–4.881.26–5.222.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 8.80 5.20–12.41 4.24–13.36 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 13.60 9.67–17.52 8.58–18.61 | 13.06 9.50–16.63 8.54–17.59 | 26.66 19.18–34.15 17.12–36.20 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 7.68 4.74–10.63 3.91–11.46 | 8.01 5.33–10.69 4.59–11.43 | 15.70 10.07–21.32 8.51–22.89 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.31 1.00–5.86 | 3.69 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.12 3.59–10.66 2.55–11.70 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.13–7.71 | 5.03 3.03–7.03 2.49–7.56 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 50.14 43.35–56.93 41.68–58.60 | 50.67 43.88–57.45 42.21–59.12 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 419 352–487 334–505 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 843 709–976 673–1012 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.54 61.51–69.57 60.22–70.86 | 69.64 65.32–73.96 64.01–75.27 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.67 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.81–31.39 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.00 0.75–5.26 0.16–5.84 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.14 1.02–3.27 0.72–3.57 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.69 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.50 1.24–4.88 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 6.30 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.