Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.002.64safe0.68–2.610.15–1.850.82–4.47safer0.43–2.860.00–2.080.34–4.95
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.939.37safe3.58–7.312.19–5.675.77–12.98safer3.09–7.801.72–6.144.81–13.93
Total shots
75%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1212.1028.22safe12.19–20.048.54–15.6720.74–35.71safer11.10–21.147.58–16.6318.69–37.76
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.486.4016.89safe7.54–13.433.72–9.0811.26–22.51safer6.71–14.252.98–9.829.70–24.08
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.017.19safe2.30–6.071.35–4.663.65–10.73safer1.76–6.610.86–5.152.62–11.76
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.989.80safe3.60–8.031.98–5.985.58–14.01safer3.03–8.601.45–6.524.48–15.12
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.3247.86safe45.53–59.1141.08–54.65safer43.86–60.7839.41–56.32
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction441384826safe374–508318–451692–959safer356–527300–468656–995
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction67.9070.65safe63.87–71.9366.33–74.98safer62.58–73.2265.02–76.29
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6811.4523.13safe8.84–14.518.51–14.4017.35–28.91safer8.08–15.277.76–15.1515.84–30.41
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.443.02safe0.42–2.740.35–2.530.77–5.27safer0.12–3.040.06–2.820.18–5.86
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.873.50safe0.58–2.680.74–3.001.33–5.68safer0.32–2.950.45–3.290.77–6.24
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.676.27safe1.17–4.042.11–5.223.28–9.26safer0.78–4.431.69–5.652.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.68–2.61 0.43–2.86 | 1.00 0.15–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 9.37 5.77–12.98 4.81–13.93 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.12 12.19–20.04 11.10–21.14 | 12.10 8.54–15.67 7.58–16.63 | 28.22 20.74–35.71 18.69–37.76 | 75% 20% |
| Shots in box | 10.48 7.54–13.43 6.71–14.25 | 6.40 3.72–9.08 2.98–9.82 | 16.89 11.26–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 3.01 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.19 3.65–10.73 2.62–11.76 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.60 | 3.98 1.98–5.98 1.45–6.52 | 9.80 5.58–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.32 45.53–59.11 43.86–60.78 | 47.86 41.08–54.65 39.41–56.32 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 356–527 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 826 692–959 656–995 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.90 63.87–71.93 62.58–73.22 | 70.65 66.33–74.98 65.02–76.29 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 23.13 17.35–28.91 15.84–30.41 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.50 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.27 3.28–9.26 2.47–10.08 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.