Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.093.23safe1.17–3.110.24–1.951.41–5.05safer0.92–3.360.01–2.170.93–5.53
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.1410.12safe4.11–7.842.40–5.896.51–13.72safer3.62–8.331.93–6.355.56–14.68
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7311.1827.91safe12.80–20.657.62–14.7420.42–35.40safer11.71–21.746.66–15.7018.37–37.45
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.267.1918.45safe8.32–14.204.51–9.8712.83–24.08safer7.49–15.033.77–10.6111.26–25.64
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.917.25safe2.46–6.231.25–4.563.72–10.79safer1.92–6.770.76–5.052.68–11.82
Corners
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.683.9310.62safe4.47–8.901.93–5.936.40–14.83safer3.90–9.471.40–6.475.30–15.94
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.5043.08safe50.71–64.2936.30–49.87safer49.04–65.9634.63–51.54
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction493365858safe426–560299–432724–992safer407–578281–449689–1027
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction74.7971.08safe70.77–78.8266.76–75.40safer69.47–80.1265.45–76.71
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6912.2023.89safe8.86–14.539.25–15.1418.11–29.67safer8.10–15.298.51–15.8916.60–31.18
Offsides
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.413.25safe0.68–3.000.32–2.501.00–5.51safer0.38–3.300.03–2.790.41–6.10
Yellow cards
29%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.404.20safe0.76–2.861.27–3.532.03–6.38safer0.49–3.120.98–3.821.47–6.94
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
26%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.886.64safe1.32–4.192.33–5.443.65–9.63safer0.93–4.581.90–5.862.84–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.11–7.84 3.62–8.33 | 4.14 2.40–5.89 1.93–6.35 | 10.12 6.51–13.72 5.56–14.68 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.73 12.80–20.65 11.71–21.74 | 11.18 7.62–14.74 6.66–15.70 | 27.91 20.42–35.40 18.37–37.45 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.32–14.20 7.49–15.03 | 7.19 4.51–9.87 3.77–10.61 | 18.45 12.83–24.08 11.26–25.64 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 2.91 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 7.25 3.72–10.79 2.68–11.82 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.47–8.90 3.90–9.47 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.40–6.47 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 76% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.50 50.71–64.29 49.04–65.96 | 43.08 36.30–49.87 34.63–51.54 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 493 426–560 407–578 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 858 724–992 689–1027 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.79 70.77–78.82 69.47–80.12 | 71.08 66.76–75.40 65.45–76.71 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.86–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 12.20 9.25–15.14 8.51–15.89 | 23.89 18.11–29.67 16.60–31.18 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.41 0.32–2.50 0.03–2.79 | 3.25 1.00–5.51 0.41–6.10 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.20 2.03–6.38 1.47–6.94 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.88 2.33–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.84–10.44 | 26% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.