Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.643.04safe0.43–2.360.79–2.501.22–4.86safer0.18–2.610.56–2.730.74–5.34
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.3910.23safe2.98–6.713.65–7.136.63–13.84safer2.49–7.203.18–7.605.67–14.80
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1814.8629.03safe10.25–18.1011.29–18.4221.54–36.52safer9.16–19.1910.33–19.3819.49–38.57
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0910.1919.28safe6.14–12.037.51–12.8813.66–24.91safer5.32–12.866.78–13.6112.09–26.47
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.117.75safe1.75–5.522.46–5.764.21–11.28safer1.21–6.061.97–6.263.17–12.32
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.405.0910.48safe3.18–7.613.09–7.096.27–14.70safer2.61–8.182.55–7.625.16–15.80
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.3054.13safe39.51–53.0947.35–60.92safer37.84–54.7645.68–62.59
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction395454849safe328–463387–520715–983safer310–481370–538680–1018
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction69.6576.67safe65.62–73.6872.34–80.99safer64.33–74.9871.04–82.30
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8912.2524.14safe9.05–14.739.30–15.1918.36–29.92safer8.30–15.498.56–15.9416.85–31.43
Offsides
41%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.513.15safe0.48–2.800.42–2.600.90–5.41safer0.18–3.100.13–2.890.31–5.99
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.044.07safe0.99–3.080.91–3.171.90–6.25safer0.72–3.350.62–3.461.34–6.81
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.086.60safe2.09–4.961.52–4.643.61–9.59safer1.70–5.351.10–5.062.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.61 | 1.64 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.98–6.71 2.49–7.20 | 5.39 3.65–7.13 3.18–7.60 | 10.23 6.63–13.84 5.67–14.80 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 14.18 10.25–18.10 9.16–19.19 | 14.86 11.29–18.42 10.33–19.38 | 29.03 21.54–36.52 19.49–38.57 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.14–12.03 5.32–12.86 | 10.19 7.51–12.88 6.78–13.61 | 19.28 13.66–24.91 12.09–26.47 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 4.11 2.46–5.76 1.97–6.26 | 7.75 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.32 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.55–7.62 | 10.48 6.27–14.70 5.16–15.80 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 46.30 39.51–53.09 37.84–54.76 | 54.13 47.35–60.92 45.68–62.59 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 395 328–463 310–481 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 849 715–983 680–1018 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.65 65.62–73.68 64.33–74.98 | 76.67 72.34–80.99 71.04–82.30 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.05–14.73 8.30–15.49 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.56–15.94 | 24.14 18.36–29.92 16.85–31.43 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–5.99 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.08 0.72–3.35 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 4.07 1.90–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.09–4.96 1.70–5.35 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.41 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.