Liga I·Regular Season - 14·
Liga I·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.972.87safe0.94–2.870.11–1.821.05–4.69safer0.68–3.120.00–2.050.57–5.17
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.389.50safe4.26–7.991.63–5.125.90–13.11safer3.77–8.481.17–5.584.94–14.06
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.999.2626.25safe13.07–20.915.70–12.8318.77–33.74safer11.97–22.014.74–13.7916.72–35.79
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.925.9017.82safe8.97–14.863.22–8.5812.19–23.44safer8.15–15.692.48–9.3210.63–25.01
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.546.95safe2.52–6.290.89–4.203.41–10.48safer1.98–6.830.40–4.692.38–11.52
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.023.529.54safe3.80–8.231.52–5.525.33–13.75safer3.23–8.800.99–6.064.22–14.86
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7550.41safe42.96–56.5443.62–57.19safer41.29–58.2141.95–58.86
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction446456903safe379–514390–523769–1036safer361–532372–540733–1072
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction73.1475.67safe69.11–77.1671.34–79.99safer67.81–78.4670.04–81.30
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9411.4424.39safe10.11–15.788.50–14.3918.61–30.17safer9.35–16.547.75–15.1417.10–31.67
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.953.64safe0.53–2.850.86–3.041.39–5.90safer0.23–3.150.57–3.330.80–6.49
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.284.04safe0.70–2.801.15–3.411.86–6.21safer0.44–3.070.86–3.701.30–6.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
19%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.745.91safe0.73–3.612.18–5.302.92–8.90safer0.35–3.991.76–5.722.11–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.94–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.13 4.26–7.99 3.77–8.48 | 3.38 1.63–5.12 1.17–5.58 | 9.50 5.90–13.11 4.94–14.06 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.99 13.07–20.91 11.97–22.01 | 9.26 5.70–12.83 4.74–13.79 | 26.25 18.77–33.74 16.72–35.79 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.92 8.97–14.86 8.15–15.69 | 5.90 3.22–8.58 2.48–9.32 | 17.82 12.19–23.44 10.63–25.01 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.52–6.29 1.98–6.83 | 2.54 0.89–4.20 0.40–4.69 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 3.52 1.52–5.52 0.99–6.06 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 49.75 42.96–56.54 41.29–58.21 | 50.41 43.62–57.19 41.95–58.86 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 446 379–514 361–532 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 903 769–1036 733–1072 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.14 69.11–77.16 67.81–78.46 | 75.67 71.34–79.99 70.04–81.30 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.94 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 11.44 8.50–14.39 7.75–15.14 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.67 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.95 0.86–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.73–3.61 0.35–3.99 | 3.74 2.18–5.30 1.76–5.72 | 5.91 2.92–8.90 2.11–9.71 | 19% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.