Liga I·Regular Season - 29·
Liga I·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.572.71safe0.16–2.100.72–2.430.88–4.53safer0.00–2.350.49–2.660.40–5.01
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.948.86safe2.06–5.783.19–6.685.25–12.46safer1.57–6.272.73–7.144.30–13.42
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4514.0125.45safe7.52–15.3710.44–17.5717.96–32.94safer6.43–16.469.48–18.5315.91–34.99
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction7.099.7516.84safe4.15–10.037.07–12.4311.22–22.46safer3.32–10.866.33–13.179.65–24.03
Blocked shots
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.864.207.06safe0.98–4.752.55–5.853.53–10.60safer0.44–5.292.06–6.352.49–11.63
Corners
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.909.40safe2.28–6.712.90–6.905.18–13.61safer1.71–7.282.37–7.434.08–14.72
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction52.0649.79safe45.27–58.8543.01–56.58safer43.60–60.5241.33–58.25
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction469434903safe401–536368–501769–1037safer383–554351–518734–1072
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction73.5674.51safe69.53–77.5870.19–78.84safer68.23–78.8868.88–80.15
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3912.3622.75safe7.55–13.239.41–15.3016.97–28.53safer6.80–13.988.67–16.0515.46–30.04
Offsides
52%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.563.73safe1.01–3.330.47–2.651.48–5.99safer0.71–3.640.18–2.940.89–6.58
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.234.27safe0.99–3.091.10–3.362.09–6.45safer0.73–3.360.81–3.651.53–7.00
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.736.05safe1.88–4.761.17–4.293.06–9.04safer1.50–5.140.75–4.712.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.57 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.92 2.06–5.78 1.57–6.27 | 4.94 3.19–6.68 2.73–7.14 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.45 7.52–15.37 6.43–16.46 | 14.01 10.44–17.57 9.48–18.53 | 25.45 17.96–32.94 15.91–34.99 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.09 4.15–10.03 3.32–10.86 | 9.75 7.07–12.43 6.33–13.17 | 16.84 11.22–22.46 9.65–24.03 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 2.86 0.98–4.75 0.44–5.29 | 4.20 2.55–5.85 2.06–6.35 | 7.06 3.53–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 4.50 2.28–6.71 1.71–7.28 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.43 | 9.40 5.18–13.61 4.08–14.72 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Possession % | 52.06 45.27–58.85 43.60–60.52 | 49.79 43.01–56.58 41.33–58.25 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 469 401–536 383–554 | 434 368–501 351–518 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.56 69.53–77.58 68.23–78.88 | 74.51 70.19–78.84 68.88–80.15 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.55–13.23 6.80–13.98 | 12.36 9.41–15.30 8.67–16.05 | 22.75 16.97–28.53 15.46–30.04 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.64 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 52% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.76 1.50–5.14 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.