Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.812.75safe0.00–1.910.95–2.660.93–4.58safer0.00–2.160.73–2.890.45–5.06
Shots on target
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.185.148.33safe1.32–5.053.40–6.894.72–11.93safer0.83–5.532.94–7.353.77–12.89
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0814.6524.73safe6.15–14.0011.09–18.2117.24–32.22safer5.06–15.0910.13–19.1715.19–34.27
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0410.1916.22safe3.09–8.987.50–12.8710.60–21.84safer2.26–9.816.77–13.609.03–23.41
Blocked shots
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.574.587.15safe0.69–4.462.92–6.233.61–10.68safer0.15–5.002.43–6.722.58–11.72
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.935.669.58safe1.71–6.143.66–7.665.37–13.80safer1.14–6.713.12–8.194.26–14.90
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.9959.37safe35.20–48.7852.58–66.15safer33.53–50.4550.91–67.82
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction366488853safe298–433421–554720–987safer280–451404–572684–1023
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.8574.58safe58.82–66.8870.25–78.90safer57.52–68.1768.94–80.21
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7111.8522.56safe7.88–13.558.91–14.7916.78–28.35safer7.12–14.318.16–15.5415.28–29.85
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.603.66safe0.90–3.220.50–2.691.41–5.91safer0.60–3.520.22–2.980.82–6.50
Yellow cards
40%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.853.76safe0.86–2.960.72–2.981.58–5.94safer0.59–3.220.43–3.271.02–6.49
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.505.86safe1.93–4.800.94–4.052.87–8.85safer1.54–5.190.52–4.482.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 2.75 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.18 1.32–5.05 0.83–5.53 | 5.14 3.40–6.89 2.94–7.35 | 8.33 4.72–11.93 3.77–12.89 | 19% 69% |
| Total shots | 10.08 6.15–14.00 5.06–15.09 | 14.65 11.09–18.21 10.13–19.17 | 24.73 17.24–32.22 15.19–34.27 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.04 3.09–8.98 2.26–9.81 | 10.19 7.50–12.87 6.77–13.60 | 16.22 10.60–21.84 9.03–23.41 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.57 0.69–4.46 0.15–5.00 | 4.58 2.92–6.23 2.43–6.72 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.58–11.72 | 17% 71% |
| Corners | 3.93 1.71–6.14 1.14–6.71 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.12–8.19 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 41.99 35.20–48.78 33.53–50.45 | 59.37 52.58–66.15 50.91–67.82 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 366 298–433 280–451 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 853 720–987 684–1023 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.85 58.82–66.88 57.52–68.17 | 74.58 70.25–78.90 68.94–80.21 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.88–13.55 7.12–14.31 | 11.85 8.91–14.79 8.16–15.54 | 22.56 16.78–28.35 15.28–29.85 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.66 1.41–5.91 0.82–6.50 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.02–6.49 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 2.50 0.94–4.05 0.52–4.48 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.06–9.67 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.