Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.220.843.06safe1.25–3.190.00–1.691.23–4.88safer1.00–3.440.00–1.920.75–5.36
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.009.65safe4.79–8.511.26–4.746.04–13.25safer4.30–9.000.79–5.215.09–14.21
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.309.0427.34safe14.37–22.225.48–12.6019.85–34.83safer13.28–23.324.52–13.5617.80–36.88
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.375.6017.96safe9.42–15.312.92–8.2812.34–23.59safer8.59–16.142.18–9.0210.77–25.15
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.236.85safe2.74–6.500.57–3.883.31–10.38safer2.20–7.050.08–4.372.28–11.42
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.059.47safe4.21–8.631.05–5.055.26–13.69safer3.63–9.210.52–5.594.15–14.79
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4039.25safe53.61–67.1932.47–46.03safer51.94–68.8630.79–47.71
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction559365924safe492–626299–431790–1057safer473–644281–449754–1093
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction74.5267.92safe70.49–78.5563.59–72.24safer69.20–79.8562.28–73.55
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0810.8221.89safe8.24–13.917.87–13.7616.11–27.68safer7.48–14.677.12–14.5114.61–29.18
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.833.45safe0.46–2.790.74–2.921.20–5.71safer0.16–3.090.45–3.210.61–6.30
Yellow cards
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.983.36safe0.32–2.420.85–3.111.18–5.54safer0.06–2.690.56–3.400.62–6.09
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.074.066.13safe0.63–3.502.51–5.623.14–9.12safer0.24–3.892.08–6.042.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.19 1.00–3.44 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 3.06 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.65 4.79–8.51 4.30–9.00 | 3.00 1.26–4.74 0.79–5.21 | 9.65 6.04–13.25 5.09–14.21 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.30 14.37–22.22 13.28–23.32 | 9.04 5.48–12.60 4.52–13.56 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.59–16.14 | 5.60 2.92–8.28 2.18–9.02 | 17.96 12.34–23.59 10.77–25.15 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.20–7.05 | 2.23 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.85 3.31–10.38 2.28–11.42 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.63 3.63–9.21 | 3.05 1.05–5.05 0.52–5.59 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.79 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.40 53.61–67.19 51.94–68.86 | 39.25 32.47–46.03 30.79–47.71 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 559 492–626 473–644 | 365 299–431 281–449 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.52 70.49–78.55 69.20–79.85 | 67.92 63.59–72.24 62.28–73.55 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 10.82 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 21.89 16.11–27.68 14.61–29.18 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.46–2.79 0.16–3.09 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.09 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 4.06 2.51–5.62 2.08–6.04 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.