Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.922.85safe0.00–1.901.07–2.781.03–4.67safer0.00–2.150.84–3.010.55–5.15
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.495.669.15safe1.62–5.353.92–7.415.54–12.76safer1.13–5.843.45–7.874.59–13.71
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9015.3426.25safe6.98–14.8311.78–18.9018.76–33.73safer5.89–15.9210.82–19.8616.71–35.78
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4410.0516.49safe3.49–9.387.37–12.7310.86–22.11safer2.67–10.216.63–13.479.30–23.68
Blocked shots
23%
13%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.734.176.90safe0.85–4.612.52–5.833.36–10.44safer0.30–5.152.03–6.322.33–11.47
Corners
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.909.87safe1.76–6.193.90–7.905.65–14.08safer1.18–6.763.36–8.434.55–15.19
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.9960.86safe34.20–47.7854.08–67.65safer32.53–49.4552.41–69.32
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction333513846safe266–400446–579712–979safer248–418429–597676–1015
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction64.5577.30safe60.52–68.5872.98–81.63safer59.23–69.8771.67–82.93
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6712.6826.35safe10.83–16.509.73–15.6220.56–32.13safer10.07–17.268.99–16.3719.06–33.63
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.833.46safe0.48–2.800.74–2.921.21–5.72safer0.17–3.100.45–3.210.62–6.31
Yellow cards
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.723.96safe1.19–3.290.59–2.851.78–6.14safer0.92–3.550.30–3.141.22–6.69
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.090.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.440.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.506.42safe2.49–5.360.94–4.053.43–9.42safer2.10–5.750.52–4.482.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.93 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.01 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 18% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.49 1.62–5.35 1.13–5.84 | 5.66 3.92–7.41 3.45–7.87 | 9.15 5.54–12.76 4.59–13.71 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.90 6.98–14.83 5.89–15.92 | 15.34 11.78–18.90 10.82–19.86 | 26.25 18.76–33.73 16.71–35.78 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.44 3.49–9.38 2.67–10.21 | 10.05 7.37–12.73 6.63–13.47 | 16.49 10.86–22.11 9.30–23.68 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 4.17 2.52–5.83 2.03–6.32 | 6.90 3.36–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 23% 13% 64% |
| Corners | 3.97 1.76–6.19 1.18–6.76 | 5.90 3.90–7.90 3.36–8.43 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 22% 67% |
| Possession % | 40.99 34.20–47.78 32.53–49.45 | 60.86 54.08–67.65 52.41–69.32 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 333 266–400 248–418 | 513 446–579 429–597 | 846 712–979 676–1015 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.55 60.52–68.58 59.23–69.87 | 77.30 72.98–81.63 71.67–82.93 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 13.67 10.83–16.50 10.07–17.26 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.99–16.37 | 26.35 20.56–32.13 19.06–33.63 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.55 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.69 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.93 2.49–5.36 2.10–5.75 | 2.50 0.94–4.05 0.52–4.48 | 6.42 3.43–9.42 2.62–10.23 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.