Liga I·Regular Season - 30·
Liga I·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.340.903.24safe1.38–3.310.04–1.751.42–5.06safer1.13–3.560.00–1.980.94–5.54
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.553.269.81safe4.69–8.421.51–5.006.21–13.42safer4.20–8.911.05–5.475.25–14.37
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction19.039.2628.30safe15.11–22.965.70–12.8220.81–35.78safer14.02–24.054.74–13.7818.76–37.83
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.465.5017.95safe9.51–15.402.82–8.1812.33–23.58safer8.68–16.232.08–8.9210.76–25.14
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.842.427.26safe2.96–6.720.77–4.073.73–10.80safer2.41–7.260.28–4.572.69–11.83
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.172.9510.12safe4.96–9.390.95–4.955.91–14.34safer4.39–9.960.41–5.484.80–15.44
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8435.81safe57.05–70.6329.02–42.59safer55.38–72.3027.35–44.26
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction568304871safe501–635237–370738–1005safer483–653220–388702–1041
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction77.1667.23safe73.13–81.1962.90–71.55safer71.84–82.4861.60–72.86
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4812.3623.84safe8.64–14.329.42–15.3118.06–29.62safer7.88–15.078.67–16.0516.55–31.13
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.343.22safe0.72–3.040.25–2.430.96–5.47safer0.42–3.340.00–2.720.37–6.06
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.093.52safe0.37–2.470.97–3.221.34–5.69safer0.11–2.740.67–3.510.78–6.25
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.084.306.38safe0.65–3.522.74–5.853.39–9.37safer0.26–3.912.32–6.282.58–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.38–3.31 1.13–3.56 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.55 4.69–8.42 4.20–8.91 | 3.26 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.47 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 82% |
| Total shots | 19.03 15.11–22.96 14.02–24.05 | 9.26 5.70–12.82 4.74–13.78 | 28.30 20.81–35.78 18.76–37.83 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.46 9.51–15.40 8.68–16.23 | 5.50 2.82–8.18 2.08–8.92 | 17.95 12.33–23.58 10.76–25.14 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.84 2.96–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.42 0.77–4.07 0.28–4.57 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.83 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 7.17 4.96–9.39 4.39–9.96 | 2.95 0.95–4.95 0.41–5.48 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 88% |
| Possession % | 63.84 57.05–70.63 55.38–72.30 | 35.81 29.02–42.59 27.35–44.26 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 568 501–635 483–653 | 304 237–370 220–388 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.16 73.13–81.19 71.84–82.48 | 67.23 62.90–71.55 61.60–72.86 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.48 8.64–14.32 7.88–15.07 | 12.36 9.42–15.31 8.67–16.05 | 23.84 18.06–29.62 16.55–31.13 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.52 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 4.30 2.74–5.85 2.32–6.28 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.18 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+