Liga I·Regular Season - 15·
Liga I·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.382.94safe0.59–2.520.53–2.241.12–4.76safer0.33–2.770.30–2.470.64–5.24
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.709.61safe3.05–6.772.96–6.446.00–13.21safer2.56–7.262.49–6.915.05–14.17
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9114.8729.78safe10.98–18.8311.31–18.4322.29–37.27safer9.89–19.9310.35–19.3920.24–39.32
Shots in box
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.249.2218.46safe6.30–12.186.54–11.9012.83–24.08safer5.47–13.015.80–12.6311.27–25.65
Blocked shots
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.914.308.21safe2.03–5.802.65–5.954.68–11.75safer1.49–6.342.16–6.453.64–12.78
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.0010.24safe3.03–7.453.00–7.006.03–14.45safer2.45–8.032.47–7.534.92–15.56
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.5550.85safe42.76–56.3444.06–57.63safer41.09–58.0142.39–59.30
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction461462923safe393–528396–529789–1056safer375–546378–546753–1092
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction70.1175.03safe66.08–74.1470.70–79.35safer64.79–75.4369.39–80.66
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6011.2321.83safe7.76–13.438.29–14.1816.05–27.61safer7.00–14.197.54–14.9314.54–29.12
Offsides
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.332.81safe0.32–2.640.24–2.420.55–5.06safer0.02–2.940.00–2.710.00–5.65
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.883.77safe0.84–2.940.75–3.011.59–5.95safer0.58–3.210.46–3.301.03–6.50
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.133.236.36safe1.69–4.561.68–4.793.37–9.35safer1.30–4.951.25–5.212.56–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.59–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 41% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 4.70 2.96–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.91 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.93 | 14.87 11.31–18.43 10.35–19.39 | 29.78 22.29–37.27 20.24–39.32 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.30–12.18 5.47–13.01 | 9.22 6.54–11.90 5.80–12.63 | 18.46 12.83–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 46% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 4.30 2.65–5.95 2.16–6.45 | 8.21 4.68–11.75 3.64–12.78 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.45 2.45–8.03 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 10.24 6.03–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.55 42.76–56.34 41.09–58.01 | 50.85 44.06–57.63 42.39–59.30 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 461 393–528 375–546 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.11 66.08–74.14 64.79–75.43 | 75.03 70.70–79.35 69.39–80.66 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 11.23 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 21.83 16.05–27.61 14.54–29.12 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 2.81 0.55–5.06 0.00–5.65 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.13 1.69–4.56 1.30–4.95 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.16 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+